TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92e5…d129

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category AI at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$224.78
Penguins vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.84
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.84
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.52
Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$61.29
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$83.7
Utah vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$239.36
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$76.86
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+138.4%+$138.28
Blue Jackets vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$136.57
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,677Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.4%+$1,777.09
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$896
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Avalanche vs. Islandersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Avalanche vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+108.3%+$72.8
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+78.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+175.4%+$344.75
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$59.99
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+65.3%+$308.24
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+94.7%+$122.41
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+1,350.9%+$426.72
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+45%+$554.19
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+120.6%+$164
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+270.4%+$73
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$41.6
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$44.64
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+79.7%+$216.84
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+42.4%+$35.54
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+151.6%+$22.19
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.67
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$87.57
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+86.4%+$64.79
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$82.1
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+39.7%+$26.61
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$99.43
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+225%+$173.52
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+64.7%+$151.97
Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$1,132.3
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$18.61
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$17
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-77.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+150.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.9%+$27.84
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Detroit Titansbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Wagner Seahawks vs. Chicago State Cougarsbacked Wagner Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+48.5%+$7.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rice vs. Texas Statebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$42.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+348%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+348%+$104.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+247%+$150.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+115.1%+$798.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs Prestige (BO3)backed Preasy Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$26.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany confidence vote in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$160.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$47.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$45.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.