NBA · resolved market
Will Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb5a53b9e9306030718bc0a3906b40e32a415d4081e7604d969cde3e73c4493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $854,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $854,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 23,501$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 15,626$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 9,927$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.92 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 9,360$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 5,033$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 9c | 3,471$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.35 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 6c | 2,555$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.79 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…37b3backed Yes | 2c | 2,100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 1c | 1,589$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,341$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 1,186$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe710…397bbacked Yes | 4c | 908$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 1c | 862.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea6…8729backed Yes | 3c | 731$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…60f9backed Yes | 3c | 652$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0051…5016backed Yes | 3c | 648$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…24d3backed Yes | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…f086backed Yes | 4c | 591$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…eb33backed Yes | 4c | 555$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…db77backed Yes | 3c | 528$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…ef10backed Yes | 3c | 497$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…49eabacked Yes | 3c | 479$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…390abacked Yes | 3c | 454$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…005cbacked Yes | 3c | 454$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…00a7backed Yes | 3c | 454$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…f721backed Yes | 3c | 454$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3180…dac3backed Yes | 4c | 454$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded2…a91ebacked Yes | 3c | 454$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0530…f1cabacked Yes | 3c | 454$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…dcefbacked Yes | 4c | 454$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…6ac7backed Yes | 3c | 454$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…7019backed Yes | 4c | 434$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…ba13backed Yes | 3c | 418$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…22fabacked Yes | 4c | 412$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…967fbacked Yes | 3c | 404$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…b867backed Yes | 4c | 402$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…b6fdbacked Yes | 4c | 398$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d7…6837backed Yes | 3c | 392$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…9203backed Yes | 3c | 363$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 17c | 290.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba2…0117backed Yes | 4c | 285$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 215.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…5548backed Yes | 6c | 169$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2893…3a29backed Yes | 7c | 169$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc275…8768backed Yes | 7c | 158$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +201.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca7…9892backed Yes | 7c | 149$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 12c | 147.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…022fbacked Yes | 14c | 140.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1d…bab2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…c719backed Yes | 21c | 90.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1267…7c97backed Yes | 27c | 65.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?this page
- Will Damian Lillard lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anfernee Simons lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will DeMar DeRozan lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Devin Booker lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will De’Aaron Fox lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Ja Morant lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Julius Randle lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kevin Durant lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kyrie Irving lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Paul George lead the NBA in Scoring?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Trae Young lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Zach LaVine lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Zion Williamson lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will another player lead the NBA in scoring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.