TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in scoring?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$724,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$445,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,520 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c155,886$291 inLost-$290.851978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes0c60,830$182 inLost-$182.495313.2%7 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-68.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a5…4032backed Yes0c40,160$85 inLost-$84.55442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c10,251$31 inLost-$30.75563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c7,782$31 inLost-$31.082130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9853…fd61backed Yes0c6,180$12 inLost-$12.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost-$20646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c4,000$14 inLost-$14994%4 W · 95 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Yes1c3,458$35 inLost-$34.664434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81be…d636backed Yes1c2,658$32 inLost-$31.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb741…15e4backed Yes1c2,215$27 inLost-$27.13520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc669…b310backed Yes1c2,215$27 inLost-$27.02616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3180…dac3backed Yes1c2,113$21 inLost-$21.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-78.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fef…87afbacked Yes1c2,079$20 inLost-$19.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6681…d6a8backed Yes4c1,950$84 inLost-$83.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2850…e5febacked Yes4c1,900$82 inLost-$81.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5517…f587backed Yes1c1,772$21 inLost-$21.26616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7151…1a33backed Yes1c1,772$19 inLost-$19.49714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…6ac7backed Yes1c1,670$17 inLost-$16.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-78.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12eb…1644backed Yes1c1,560$16 inLost-$15.78425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-66.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes3c1,426$42 inLost-$41.996113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes1c1,345$13 inLost-$13.458219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…a64ebacked Yes1c1,329$17 inLost-$17.2850%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbc8…f325backed Yes1c1,329$17 inLost-$16.8360%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e7…390abacked Yes1c1,262$12 inLost-$11.95100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes2c1,163$19 inLost-$18.63586.9%4 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a6…d72fbacked Yes1c1,151$11 inLost-$10.7160%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf805…343abacked Yes3c1,024$29 inLost-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x646b…25dabacked Yes1c886$11 inLost-$10.6390%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c1…8ad5backed Yes1c886$12 inLost-$11.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8109…808cbacked Yes1c886$12 inLost-$11.5280%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2447…a9a7backed Yes4c684.05$27 inLost-$26.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f0…5effbacked Yes6c540.49$30 inLost-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes5c466.5$23 inLost-$22.91385.3%2 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-88.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes4c281.03$11 inLost-$11.09539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick12cpaid+11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ad…d823backed Yes10c261.09$25 inLost-$253129%9 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-28.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.