TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Zach LaVine lead the NBA in scoring?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,374,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$677,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,374,115 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6d0…d8f2backed Yes0c609,462$1,828 inLost-$1,828.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6516…5107backed Yes0c609,462$1,828 inLost-$1,828.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ef…6d43backed Yes0c565,929$1,698 inLost-$1,697.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc891…1d31backed Yes0c565,929$1,698 inLost-$1,697.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c151,111$272 inLost-$272.221978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes0c148,340$375 inLost-$375.025313.2%7 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-68.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c46,909$116 inLost-$116.012130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c35,219$70 inLost-$70.44730%0 W · 73 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d85…8393backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost-$20432.3%1 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-80%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost-$1515219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c14,953$45 inLost-$44.86563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c12,597$42 inLost-$41.5111337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17fd…252cbacked Yes0c11,000$11 inLost-$119347.3%44 W · 49 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951a…f885backed Yes0c5,370$16 inLost-$16.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost-$20646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddc…1976backed Yes0c4,000$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf45…87cfbacked Yes1c3,940$20 inLost-$19.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x694c…816cbacked Yes1c2,516$13 inLost-$12.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…f262backed Yes0c2,191$10 inLost-$10.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.