NBA · resolved market
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd964541735abd3bc6ba80de60dbef71f404a061d34e3e271b3bef1e21192c0ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,538,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,356,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,538,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed Yes | 65c | 77,000$50,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,950 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…c82ebacked No | 35c | 77,000$26,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f22…529cbacked Yes | 65c | 77,000$50,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…033dbacked No | 18c | 61,000$10,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 72c | 14,050$10,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.85 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 10,574$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 65c | 8,602$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.19 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 63c | 8,471$5,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 27c | 7,469$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.21 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 33c | 7,259$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.52 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 59c | 5,799$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.65 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 63c | 5,392$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.79 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 79c | 4,585$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.8 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 21c | 3,104$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.81 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,884$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 20c | 2,867$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.13 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 3c | 2,690$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 22c | 2,660$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.6 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 76c | 1,982$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.59 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 68c | 1,563$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.78 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Yes | 25c | 1,405$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.03 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 55c | 1,372$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.03 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 74c | 1,200$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 8c | 1,114$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked Yes | 79c | 999.96$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 15c | 937.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.09 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 17c | 925.01$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.65 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 26c | 906.78$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.13 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75e…a861backed Yes | 46c | 901.08$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6a…e1fbbacked No | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2773…66c9backed No | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…f991backed Yes | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…bc74backed No | 23c | 867.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 35c | 846.34$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.25 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed No | 32c | 713.71$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…4699backed No | 19c | 678.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 22c | 669.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…f23abacked Yes | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed Yes | 57c | 564.8$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…3039backed Yes | 36c | 528.32$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…2c9abacked No | 28c | 480.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 24c | 478.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed No | 47c | 454.45$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.39 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…ee4bbacked Yes | 13c | 450.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…6254backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…c8bcbacked No | 26c | 397.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…50c7backed Yes | 80c | 387.32$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed No | 4c | 348$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c5…ba67backed No | 27c | 314.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 36c | 304.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…3852backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…c62cbacked Yes | 33c | 295.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdc…a493backed Yes | 33c | 273.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…5d4bbacked No | 32c | 272.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2239…c9c0backed No | 58c | 258.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 76c | 253.66$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf943…a83abacked Yes | 23c | 241.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…489dbacked No | 52c | 237.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 29c | 236.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…840fbacked No | 27c | 225.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb047…35a6backed Yes | 33c | 222.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…9c2ebacked No | 31c | 219.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…a625backed No | 26c | 209.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…6374backed No | 54c | 209.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…8803backed Yes | 78c | 204.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…186ebacked No | 27c | 203.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…93d8backed No | 27c | 202.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…66a4backed No | 59c | 200.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…6735backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…fafdbacked Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…849ebacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…a7b5backed No | 69c | 198.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd8…9cdbbacked Yes | 75c | 193.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3e71backed No | 21c | 192.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…93d3backed Yes | 43c | 192.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…1f68backed No | 54c | 191.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f8…9febbacked No | 27c | 191.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…696cbacked No | 27c | 190.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…3dc7backed No | 27c | 188.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31cabacked No | 24c | 188.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…5bacbacked No | 54c | 187.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a61…3c2bbacked No | 56c | 184.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…932cbacked Yes | 49c | 184.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…d7d4backed No | 26c | 180.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…1ab5backed No | 39c | 178.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…a7fcbacked No | 27c | 177.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…b0b8backed No | 31c | 175.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…156fbacked Yes | 45c | 175.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…dd51backed No | 25c | 173.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb506…8b83backed No | 27c | 172.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed Yes | 35c | 171.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4641…b1efbacked No | 27c | 170.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…047fbacked Yes | 75c | 169.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…7adabacked No | 26c | 166.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc146…b46abacked Yes | 76c | 166.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…f61cbacked No | 29c | 166.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…9eb9backed Yes | 76c | 165.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…3896backed Yes | 78c | 159.53$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?this page
- Will Damian Lillard lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anfernee Simons lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will DeMar DeRozan lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Devin Booker lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will De’Aaron Fox lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Ja Morant lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Julius Randle lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kevin Durant lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kyrie Irving lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Paul George lead the NBA in Scoring?No won
- Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Trae Young lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Zach LaVine lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Zion Williamson lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will another player lead the NBA in scoring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.