TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,417,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$666,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,417,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ea4…cfa9backed Yes1c50,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c23,065$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.721550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes4c14,592$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.251,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c11,990$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.072130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Yes1c11,785$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes7c10,451$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.066113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5774…4013backed Yes0c6,891$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e40…2ea7backed Yes0c6,891$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdb…a724backed Yes0c6,891$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86cb…a6e6backed Yes0c6,891$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x111f…af00backed Yes9c5,340$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4552128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x258b…6f3cbacked Yes0c5,169$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d52…2470backed Yes0c5,169$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2905…3421backed Yes0c5,169$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…4a7cbacked Yes0c5,169$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…346cbacked Yes0c5,169$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x259b…c607backed Yes0c5,169$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f02…3dafbacked Yes0c5,169$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf080…47efbacked Yes0c5,169$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc038…6fc7backed Yes0c5,169$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e79…83a3backed Yes0c5,169$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…6111backed Yes0c5,169$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…8cd8backed Yes0c5,169$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c28…e3dbbacked Yes0c5,169$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fef…df31backed Yes0c5,169$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d97…5fe6backed Yes0c5,169$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b8…ba4bbacked Yes0c5,169$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38c…5102backed Yes0c5,169$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd4…d564backed Yes0c5,169$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c5,122$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.371978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes2c5,067$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.48646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes3c4,123$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.251,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a5…6ea8backed Yes7c3,997$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.69425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-67.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7829…b842backed Yes1c3,635$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083d…173abacked Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08b…e962backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cba…f6e3backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0790…5b10backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66b…0b1bbacked Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6611…8f59backed Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2311…9804backed Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d0…79e1backed Yes1c3,446$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa341…ec63backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0c1backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x656f…7a42backed Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf337…e1e6backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…03c0backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffd…3f80backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc04b…fcdfbacked Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd749…0c34backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7f…6b45backed Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf273…cc03backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffd…79d9backed Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…c9e3backed Yes1c3,446$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d7…ce90backed Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5123…e35cbacked Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a8…db1abacked Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8835…5b95backed Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e4…d13abacked Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81a…ef3abacked Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae33…4057backed Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…bbd5backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69b…6738backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4d…3aadbacked Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e1…0838backed Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f8…f33ebacked Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd707…ee81backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a5…1ecdbacked Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f3…8e53backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b2…a4e8backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41b…8ff2backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9548…d334backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb05…c2d9backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f6…0806backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b9f…2f12backed Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e14…daf6backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b0…0e01backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc14…6a9ebacked Yes1c3,446$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6731…9163backed Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe466…b3f9backed Yes1c3,446$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd63f…bcdcbacked Yes0c3,446$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c4f…32ccbacked Yes0c3,446$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c96…6f41backed Yes1c3,446$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e65…b17bbacked Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x627c…2373backed Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e94…60babacked Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x094c…82a6backed Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ec…a1afbacked Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796f…115bbacked Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3b…2b21backed Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0003…c0d7backed Yes0c3,446$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7560…0b6ebacked Yes0c3,446$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7564…bd83backed Yes0c3,446$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cfe…ab74backed Yes0c3,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes4c3,181$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4777437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb08c…dce0backed Yes0c2,945$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d1…bdbcbacked Yes1c2,945$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb4…74f8backed Yes1c2,945$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb609…e25abacked Yes1c2,945$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4c…9ea8backed Yes0c2,945$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.