TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x111f…af00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+114.4%+$45.77
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$93.04
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+42.7%+$44.84
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$380
Will another player lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+151.2%+$393.24
Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$455
Will Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$624.91
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jimmy Butler get traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+388.9%+$101.1
Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Patrick Mahomes record 253 or more passing yards in Super Bowl LIX?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Will the opening kickoff in Super Bowl LIX result in a touchback?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+38.5%+$15.4
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+46.9%+$93.81
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+163.7%+$818.34
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24.95
Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,060
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$174
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.8%+$6.35
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$96.95
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$465
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$716
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$346
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$77.3
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$57.6
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+27.4%+$285.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$49.85
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+27.4%+$32.65
Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+132.4%+$377.48
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will "M3GAN 2.0" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $16M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$433.85
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+50.6%+$65.77
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+37.4%+$6.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,107
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$280.5
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$568
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,236.04
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13,828Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+62%+$8,569.1
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+282.9%+$622.28
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$25.09
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-51.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.02
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.75
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.91
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$117.31
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$530
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$306
Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+118.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+111.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.