NBA · resolved market
Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x590f66d94c8b88900d59fba5a6f95525530988960be15b003114cbb14a0c5fce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $570,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23a7…aa64backed Yes | 0c | 30,520$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…c2e5backed Yes | 0c | 25,550$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…9471backed Yes | 0c | 25,550$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…1dbfbacked Yes | 0c | 25,550$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…3531backed Yes | 0c | 24,560$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…295abacked Yes | 0c | 24,440$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…245dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,320$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…d4a6backed Yes | 0c | 22,220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…60e4backed Yes | 0c | 20,590$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8a…d59dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…ca37backed Yes | 0c | 19,870$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…c4ecbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…a634backed Yes | 0c | 18,240$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 16,030$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7922…52babacked Yes | 0c | 15,660$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…91f1backed Yes | 0c | 15,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…fff6backed Yes | 0c | 15,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…46b9backed Yes | 0c | 15,320$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…a8a2backed Yes | 0c | 15,230$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf615…1297backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…6740backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…0035backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…d73abacked Yes | 0c | 11,780$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…b76ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,729$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…92ccbacked Yes | 0c | 10,477$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…4f23backed Yes | 4c | 5,508$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,481$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 3,352$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 2c | 2,143$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 2c | 918.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…b428backed Yes | 4c | 865.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…05d5backed Yes | 8c | 825.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…9948backed Yes | 17c | 577.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…50c5backed Yes | 7c | 554.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 4c | 499.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 3c | 398$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…c01abacked Yes | 6c | 310.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…f051backed Yes | 5c | 284.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…7af1backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 9c | 179.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 10c | 156.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?this page
- Will Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes won
- Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Jase Richardson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Jeremiah Fears win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Khaman Maluach win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Walter Clayton Jr. win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.