TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,130,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,082,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,130,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 753 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84c5…413bbacked No39c81,400$32,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,309.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+90.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Yes63c68,042$42,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,554.621866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e55…0a16backed No34c48,450$16,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,8562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+129.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b8d…db9ebacked Yes53c33,829$17,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,760.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00fe…780bbacked No48c32,899$15,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,271.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ac…b3afbacked Yes61c28,800$17,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,539.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd741…a353backed Yes60c27,300$16,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,489.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Yes64c26,769$17,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,089.663148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed No33c26,600$8,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,885.342832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6256…797dbacked Yes60c25,300$15,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,281.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x426e…1bd3backed Yes66c24,350$16,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,022.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9669…832abacked Yes66c24,100$15,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,833.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No53c22,766$12,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,700.752,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No44c18,648$8,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,530.353447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes27c17,079$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,585.4149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Yes29c13,845$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.8114842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes40c12,073$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.862934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes60c11,687$6,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,977.9995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No57c11,555$6,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.4822140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6a…7f5cbacked Yes55c11,555$6,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,301366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Yes37c10,422$3,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,898.41520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed No37c10,350$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,562.073860.5%23 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes0c9,977$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.918036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked No70c9,973$7,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.618038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No67c9,463$6,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.773141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Yes46c8,994$4,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,164.221,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Yes43c8,037$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.225339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes63c7,513$4,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,721.5112649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No42c7,424$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,298.8422750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08017162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f70…b3edbacked Yes37c6,787$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes30c6,361$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.391127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No55c5,713$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.88853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes41c5,480$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.352060%12 W · 8 L+5.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+86.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Yes29c4,666$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.4113544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c4,514$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.361,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes0c4,250$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175913.6%8 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes30c4,249$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.051471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes43c4,211$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.881,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Yes30c4,063$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.0814245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4d…af28backed Yes44c4,012$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.3323753.6%127 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes30c4,000$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21243348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes28c3,956$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.46378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes18c3,760$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.4339449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed Yes50c3,674$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.381136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+88.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Yes66c3,493$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.5416052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Yes48c3,338$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.6241553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes17c3,266$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.65238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec3…ba3bbacked Yes71c3,266$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61a…9544backed Yes45c3,199$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.930358.7%178 W · 125 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes68c3,072$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.176764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9b…7829backed Yes57c3,004$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.29149.5%45 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46e6…ed5ebacked Yes40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e7…9948backed Yes29c2,855$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d2f…58b6backed Yes65c2,769$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.26825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6018…ac09backed Yes48c2,727$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf17…97d1backed Yes46c2,684$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.565349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes50c2,578$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b1…619fbacked Yes40c2,513$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.370%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b04…38b2backed Yes23c2,433$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6f…e9e8backed Yes63c2,396$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid+47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd815…3225backed Yes42c2,388$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab78…fac0backed Yes13c2,259$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.051040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Yes40c2,232$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.9712058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ef…ef37backed Yes71c2,193$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.031283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes41c2,036$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.6795848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes26c2,017$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.9818643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe838…3832backed Yes38c2,012$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.612241%50 W · 72 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No50c2,004$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes73c2,000$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.621,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked No60c2,000$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.996352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked Yes14c2,000$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-80.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d79…ae69backed Yes58c1,955$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.21643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdce…cd62backed Yes43c1,807$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10c6…19b6backed Yes50c1,796$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.088253.7%44 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No43c1,787$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.796352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da7…ca6cbacked No37c1,731$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4bb…a993backed Yes63c1,701$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.694067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes47c1,672$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.015738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes60c1,657$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9905032%16 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Yes32c1,656$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x956c…336abacked Yes35c1,591$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No43c1,586$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.391471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6622…d7a9backed No76c1,558$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.911471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+60.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No62c1,549$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.562339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes51c1,498$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.3211723.9%28 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5626…68eebacked Yes33c1,497$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Yes64c1,457$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.379839.8%39 W · 59 L-12.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No46c1,404$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.071,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes42c1,400$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.6528842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa099…d81fbacked Yes42c1,339$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.652326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d5…707fbacked Yes29c1,328$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bda…4489backed Yes70c1,315$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No10c1,310$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.1419047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6416…18d7backed No29c1,293$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.691136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b2…5548backed Yes45c1,259$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.461118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fce…f516backed Yes40c1,255$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No7c1,250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16510735.5%38 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes32c1,244$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6530641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…47b0backed No16c1,218$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+212.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.