NBA · resolved market
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe87b4bec41ca0b2e5f09b79e59f9aba6a88feab636db30b70fa103c1b54e5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,130,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,082,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,130,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 753 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84c5…413bbacked No | 39c | 81,400$32,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,309.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Yes | 63c | 68,042$42,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,554.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…0a16backed No | 34c | 48,450$16,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,856 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…db9ebacked Yes | 53c | 33,829$17,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,760.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…780bbacked No | 48c | 32,899$15,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,271.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…b3afbacked Yes | 61c | 28,800$17,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,539.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd741…a353backed Yes | 60c | 27,300$16,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,489.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Yes | 64c | 26,769$17,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,089.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed No | 33c | 26,600$8,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,885.34 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…797dbacked Yes | 60c | 25,300$15,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,281.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…1bd3backed Yes | 66c | 24,350$16,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,022.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9669…832abacked Yes | 66c | 24,100$15,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,833.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 53c | 22,766$12,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,700.75 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 44c | 18,648$8,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,530.35 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 27c | 17,079$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.41 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Yes | 29c | 13,845$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.81 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 40c | 12,073$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.86 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 60c | 11,687$6,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,977.99 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 57c | 11,555$6,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960.48 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6a…7f5cbacked Yes | 55c | 11,555$6,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,301 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Yes | 37c | 10,422$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…f757backed No | 37c | 10,350$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,562.07 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 0c | 9,977$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked No | 70c | 9,973$7,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.61 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 67c | 9,463$6,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.77 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Yes | 46c | 8,994$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.22 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Yes | 43c | 8,037$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.22 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 63c | 7,513$4,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.51 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 42c | 7,424$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.84 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…b3edbacked Yes | 37c | 6,787$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes | 30c | 6,361$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 5,713$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.8 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 41c | 5,480$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 4,666$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.41 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 4,514$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.36 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 30c | 4,249$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 43c | 4,211$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.88 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Yes | 30c | 4,063$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.08 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…af28backed Yes | 44c | 4,012$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.33 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 28c | 3,956$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.46 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 18c | 3,760$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.43 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 50c | 3,674$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Yes | 66c | 3,493$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.54 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Yes | 48c | 3,338$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.62 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 17c | 3,266$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.65 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…ba3bbacked Yes | 71c | 3,266$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…9544backed Yes | 45c | 3,199$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.9 | 303 | 58.7%178 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 68c | 3,072$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.17 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…7829backed Yes | 57c | 3,004$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.2 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…ed5ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…9948backed Yes | 29c | 2,855$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…58b6backed Yes | 65c | 2,769$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…ac09backed Yes | 48c | 2,727$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 46c | 2,684$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.56 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 50c | 2,578$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…619fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,513$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…38b2backed Yes | 23c | 2,433$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…e9e8backed Yes | 63c | 2,396$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…3225backed Yes | 42c | 2,388$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 13c | 2,259$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Yes | 40c | 2,232$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.97 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…ef37backed Yes | 71c | 2,193$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.03 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 41c | 2,036$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.67 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,017$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.98 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…3832backed Yes | 38c | 2,012$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.6 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 50c | 2,004$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.62 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…ae69backed Yes | 58c | 1,955$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdce…cd62backed Yes | 43c | 1,807$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Yes | 50c | 1,796$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.08 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 43c | 1,787$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.79 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked No | 37c | 1,731$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 63c | 1,701$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.69 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 47c | 1,672$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.01 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 60c | 1,657$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Yes | 32c | 1,656$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…336abacked Yes | 35c | 1,591$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 43c | 1,586$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.39 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed No | 76c | 1,558$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 1,549$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 51c | 1,498$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.32 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…68eebacked Yes | 33c | 1,497$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 64c | 1,457$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.37 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 46c | 1,404$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.07 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.65 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,339$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.65 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…707fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,328$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4489backed Yes | 70c | 1,315$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 10c | 1,310$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.14 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6416…18d7backed No | 29c | 1,293$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 45c | 1,259$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fce…f516backed Yes | 40c | 1,255$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 7c | 1,250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 32c | 1,244$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.65 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…47b0backed No | 16c | 1,218$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?this page
- Will Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes won
- Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Jase Richardson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Jeremiah Fears win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Khaman Maluach win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Walter Clayton Jr. win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.