TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f9b…7829

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst F1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9149.5%45 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,100%+$1,243.41
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.67
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,377.98
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+192.6%+$139.47
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+141%+$1,047.08
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,536.44
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,073.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$133.16
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+98%+$472.22
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.5
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.98
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.49
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$50.75
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.89
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.05
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,718.2
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,084Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$5,420.53
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.12
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT7561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.26
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$30.8
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$239.54
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$192.17
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$1,108.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,651Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$732.51
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$756
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$759.3
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$518.86
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$387.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$258.46
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$168.75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$159.84
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,076.8
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.1
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,330
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.74
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,265.1
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$68.61
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.15
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$706.99
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$236.74
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$660.83
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,893Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,773.24
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.26
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$118
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$56
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$477.36
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+316.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$531.46
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$21.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$46.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Finland vs Germanybacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$199.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.