TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,095,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,823,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,095,379 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,837 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x612f…aa53backed Yes33c204,086$68,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135,879.214047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes59c167,818$98,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,389.926732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes78c126,329$98,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,130.55560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No27c114,719$30,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,705.02742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes73c114,588$83,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,084.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes47c97,852$46,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,508.3711547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes32c75,951$24,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,853.712425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes74c70,522$52,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,214.76475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4e…2f7ebacked Yes36c70,026$25,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,917.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes72c70,000$50,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,889.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes79c69,131$54,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,500.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes36c63,947$23,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,927.122123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick18cpaid-57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes70c60,708$42,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,995.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked No0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes43c47,590$20,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,073.332412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes52c42,435$22,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,359.311612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-76.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes37c41,566$15,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,105.355733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes74c39,430$29,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,085.311540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d03…31f1backed No56c38,433$21,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,522.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1e…8921backed Yes44c38,433$16,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,522.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa834…5fc6backed No19c36,644$7,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,095.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes35c35,141$12,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,956.6321337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed No16c34,029$5,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,528.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c01…d612backed Yes79c33,876$26,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,055.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f17…519ebacked Yes78c32,743$25,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,128.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes34c31,917$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,966.995137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c13…bb5cbacked Yes73c30,288$22,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,177.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Yes35c30,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,500771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes59c29,397$17,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,025.147233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes28c27,085$7,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,514.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+192.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes57c26,959$15,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,568.444348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked No9c25,886$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.92933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f0…964ebacked Yes80c25,589$20,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,182.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c82…4e09backed Yes51c25,547$12,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,598.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Yes28c25,351$7,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,137.46850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes44c24,945$10,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,053.129219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ca…8448backed Yes53c24,500$12,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,514.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No25c22,013$5,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,442.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes80c21,916$17,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,431.385337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0131…8246backed Yes76c20,196$15,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,914.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes48c20,143$9,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,508.112646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes27c19,926$5,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,459.443917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes71c19,903$14,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,768.691376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6f7…02b6backed Yes73c19,509$14,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,209.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes43c19,369$8,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,948.849223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked No30c19,147$5,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,69510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ae…0459backed Yes73c18,699$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…4710backed Yes73c18,519$13,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…c73cbacked Yes73c18,394$13,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes38c18,212$6,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,291.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes75c18,073$13,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,507.622450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba7…fbaabacked Yes32c17,930$5,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,154.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+210.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes40c17,634$7,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,497.83348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Yes76c17,244$13,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…2ccdbacked Yes76c16,926$12,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa75…a864backed Yes77c16,881$13,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b1…f3e8backed Yes54c16,410$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,510.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes45c16,262$7,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,948.816835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Yes76c16,184$12,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Yes52c16,011$8,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,693.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No8c15,677$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.14837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+1,196.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes74c15,633$11,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,064.55333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes55c15,632$8,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,014.235028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad7…c45ebacked Yes75c15,609$11,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,834.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…b848backed No27c15,432$4,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,126.7640%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes72c15,277$10,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,307.6320843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes39c15,000$5,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,198.2112523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bce…59a2backed Yes79c14,884$11,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,141.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes69c14,512$10,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,458.226331.7%20 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes31c13,938$4,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,589.081838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa8…a55abacked Yes74c13,576$9,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfd…d183backed Yes56c13,503$7,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,964.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1932…f08dbacked Yes76c13,115$9,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…bab3backed No22c13,094$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4e…7dc7backed Yes25c11,498$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,675.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+103.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes54c11,303$6,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,208.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fe…8591backed No31c11,248$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,462.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes77c11,134$8,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcabc…19b1backed Yes34c11,092$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,314.231127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes61c10,664$6,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.075959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4567…dc3fbacked No28c10,351$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No20c10,008$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.176051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99b3…b4ddbacked Yes69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.885521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4489…2452backed Yes79c9,998$7,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes27c9,989$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,338.436225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5760…e0cdbacked Yes33c9,938$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,691.9333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8d…4537backed No24c9,450$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.96837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes77c9,364$7,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5b…a593backed No5c9,267$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3287…25f7backed Yes77c9,206$7,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f7f…be1dbacked No45c9,100$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,09510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Yes77c9,089$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No27c9,000$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4307433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c72…a042backed Yes76c8,995$6,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-54%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e31…d5fdbacked Yes73c8,918$6,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.92333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes74c8,734$6,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfe3…02ddbacked Yes30c8,596$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,005.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+65.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes37c8,530$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,333.87425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x408c…8816backed Yes75c8,417$6,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.