TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,546,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,579,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,546,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes0c1,825,952$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.072412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c733,688$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.6940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9241…bd19backed Yes0c461,145$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…de2ebacked Yes0c305,959$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce72…4971backed Yes0c293,333$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b9…06ddbacked Yes0c293,158$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056f…8367backed Yes0c291,486$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7097…9492backed Yes0c253,000$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes1c186,154$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.223417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9f…dd20backed Yes0c174,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdadf…c9a4backed Yes0c173,000$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec8…5614backed Yes0c172,222$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…2b84backed Yes0c172,000$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3369…d55fbacked Yes0c171,500$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x364c…adfebacked Yes0c171,500$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd449…d734backed Yes0c170,311$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x577f…9535backed Yes0c170,116$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac8…d411backed Yes0c169,872$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc439…6042backed Yes0c169,000$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b2…f501backed Yes0c168,943$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e16…a70ebacked Yes0c168,000$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6580…181abacked Yes0c168,000$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b0…2a2bbacked Yes0c167,800$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…aec5backed Yes0c167,766$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54bb…4d39backed Yes0c167,600$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0c…963dbacked Yes0c167,115$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x062a…c45fbacked Yes0c166,900$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c68…7e8ebacked Yes0c166,633$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b03…1690backed Yes0c166,070$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d0…2f7ebacked Yes0c166,000$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eef…86d7backed Yes0c166,000$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x084b…dc89backed Yes0c166,000$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3612…b61fbacked Yes0c165,000$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078d…0745backed Yes0c165,000$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5371…5a04backed Yes0c164,000$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…b383backed Yes0c161,753$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe407…f3cdbacked Yes0c161,133$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd000…16a4backed Yes0c160,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f0…6e00backed Yes0c159,991$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c44cbacked Yes0c159,000$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32a…5191backed Yes0c159,000$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b6a…4deebacked Yes0c158,900$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e2…864fbacked Yes0c158,888$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x890e…bd55backed Yes0c158,000$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd79…ccacbacked Yes0c158,000$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7162…3ab9backed Yes0c158,000$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e0…d101backed Yes0c157,891$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad66…219abacked Yes0c157,815$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5118…84b8backed Yes0c157,623$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da9…1eaabacked Yes0c157,000$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0b…9bc8backed Yes0c157,000$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397d…1351backed Yes0c156,336$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64c…c269backed Yes0c156,204$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578b…4524backed Yes0c156,000$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac83…10b3backed Yes0c155,555$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d9…7135backed Yes0c155,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669e…6415backed Yes0c154,600$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd14…24a1backed Yes0c154,442$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99ac…f06ebacked Yes0c154,020$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf227…e198backed Yes0c153,999$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3562…36a0backed Yes0c153,999$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb072…35dabacked Yes0c153,959$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e21…72a7backed Yes0c153,959$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d80…073abacked Yes0c153,848$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78de…80e4backed Yes0c153,735$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…a725backed Yes0c153,721$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0890…1b14backed Yes0c153,555$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x233e…5f4bbacked Yes0c153,000$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd85c…a94cbacked Yes0c152,614$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28b…cb77backed Yes0c152,000$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f1…7490backed Yes0c151,566$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fb…ff7abacked Yes0c151,000$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x665b…f4d1backed Yes0c150,932$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe478…2120backed Yes0c150,472$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab5d…a9cebacked Yes0c150,100$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca27…db5bbacked Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd57b…aaa7backed Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f7…6ababacked Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d6…d952backed Yes0c149,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc712…ed73backed Yes0c148,111$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd15c…ca3ebacked Yes0c147,900$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8170…6a54backed Yes0c147,000$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes0c146,257$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.03110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x857a…030ebacked Yes0c146,111$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8680…8057backed Yes0c146,110$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…1d71backed Yes0c146,000$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980f…9207backed Yes0c138,000$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cc…ed76backed Yes1c121,561$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c101,550$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f2…1240backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Yes0c88,389$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c77,592$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.04352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes2c73,255$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.42248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a3…c9b2backed Yes0c52,990$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd152…ff44backed Yes0c46,461$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae5b…0a8cbacked Yes1c45,046$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3850%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacfc…7bf6backed Yes1c45,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c44,305$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.52570%0 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeede…4287backed Yes0c40,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.