TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,698,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,434,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,698,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 930 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes1c6,942,731$35,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,808.49283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes1c4,967,124$29,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,314.611540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c1,448,704$3,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.272152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c917,871$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.8740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7cd…89a3backed Yes0c458,711$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05da…ae41backed Yes0c348,003$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c299,999$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+96.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8652…3ce4backed Yes0c272,770$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995b…2dfabacked Yes0c246,008$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8225…162fbacked Yes1c244,862$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…4252backed Yes0c237,450$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f2…1240backed Yes0c200,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e8…5319backed Yes0c180,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x199f…c7dcbacked Yes1c167,353$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d3…435bbacked Yes0c150,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33aa…87ddbacked Yes1c111,650$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb8d…934fbacked Yes1c98,839$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb394…ca7bbacked Yes1c96,560$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed Yes1c95,230$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.064047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31d4…7816backed Yes1c90,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec0…7ebebacked Yes1c77,134$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes2c67,970$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.16248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x254a…417abacked Yes0c67,963$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4680…7a6bbacked Yes1c65,630$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…3312backed Yes1c65,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…db70backed Yes1c63,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d4…e530backed Yes1c50,816$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf7…393bbacked Yes0c50,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be6…9beabacked Yes0c46,400$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c45,158$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.57570%0 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7409…d288backed Yes1c41,375$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes1c40,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090e…07c7backed Yes0c35,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f45…b0afbacked Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes1c32,000$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6912419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e6…995bbacked Yes3c30,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c30,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2120…826cbacked Yes0c29,319$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff5…a7f4backed Yes0c28,919$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Yes2c25,264$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes0c25,264$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.062123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick18cpaid-57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce2…f92bbacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…8e8abacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe297…393bbacked Yes1c24,975$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c65…392dbacked Yes1c24,849$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc381…f141backed Yes3c24,221$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6642…d6d2backed Yes1c23,739$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4439…ab18backed Yes1c22,674$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c22,515$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.95490%0 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2994…ed6bbacked Yes0c22,232$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d2…7a34backed Yes1c21,900$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea92…36abbacked Yes1c21,663$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bb…3e4dbacked Yes1c21,550$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd8c…2d8cbacked Yes1c21,513$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c8…1915backed Yes1c21,425$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5b…0fcbbacked Yes1c20,988$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f3…b32dbacked Yes1c20,925$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e1…75f2backed Yes1c20,625$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3595…7a94backed Yes1c20,426$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6931backed Yes1c20,175$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2963…6bd1backed Yes1c20,100$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf1…5224backed Yes1c20,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8c…75c4backed Yes1c20,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d1b3backed Yes1c19,356$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa95b…46e2backed Yes1c18,897$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Yes0c18,526$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef02…4f7ebacked Yes0c17,504$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe869…fc0ebacked Yes1c17,500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Yes0c17,200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x395c…ad6fbacked Yes0c17,050$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes2c16,842$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.189219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b84…b7d0backed Yes1c16,403$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.25540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad7…1e82backed Yes1c16,388$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18db…43c1backed Yes1c15,588$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8391…3e49backed Yes1c15,510$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf35f…7f6dbacked Yes1c15,504$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b5…a6b8backed Yes1c15,460$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ae…799dbacked Yes1c15,213$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…03ccbacked Yes0c15,174$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6955…6eeebacked Yes0c15,163$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3230…f702backed Yes0c15,059$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9285…74a4backed Yes1c15,026$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x169b…64e6backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0a…1936backed Yes0c15,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5477…13e1backed Yes1c14,793$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a7…84f2backed Yes1c14,125$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x457d…a457backed Yes1c14,000$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfbb…df71backed Yes1c13,450$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a0f…ca95backed Yes1c13,375$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8741…08e4backed Yes1c13,366$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c87…a45cbacked Yes0c13,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb0…43d1backed Yes3c13,266$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d8…1c18backed Yes1c13,125$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…ea52backed Yes1c13,125$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes1c13,100$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-80.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae5b…0a8cbacked Yes2c13,068$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3450%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.