TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,792,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,815,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,792,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c725,360$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.623417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c397,752$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.26352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c245,360$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2e…14b5backed Yes0c176,850$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e5…86dabacked Yes0c175,850$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1f…acc3backed Yes0c175,300$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…68d2backed Yes0c159,840$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93fe…89e6backed Yes0c147,440$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed Yes0c133,000$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd076…d2efbacked Yes0c121,960$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes0c115,430$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.432412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf01d…0eb1backed Yes0c109,777$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b36…e99bbacked Yes0c100,670$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e1…099bbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick18cpaid-57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes0c99,880$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43c4…ce79backed Yes0c91,600$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcec…9ffdbacked Yes0c89,210$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…4d2ebacked Yes0c79,660$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1abe…3fa8backed Yes0c74,840$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes0c73,995$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.99110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…51e0backed Yes0c73,050$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…d309backed Yes0c68,850$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9724…150ebacked Yes0c68,587$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1674…c7b1backed Yes0c67,500$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…006fbacked Yes0c67,490$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c60,267$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.98570%0 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…6b4cbacked Yes0c55,720$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff33…5240backed Yes0c55,160$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c55,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110270%0 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ea…d579backed Yes0c54,310$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d9…701bbacked Yes0c53,130$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedff…7218backed Yes0c52,720$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b31…fdefbacked Yes0c51,990$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db1…b8f2backed Yes0c51,740$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8897…c58dbacked Yes0c51,170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cd5…37d2backed Yes0c50,720$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d24…d886backed Yes0c50,120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c6…75f2backed Yes0c50,110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3002…2a51backed Yes0c46,440$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31da…c37cbacked Yes0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd74…d028backed Yes0c44,390$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c7c…a2c8backed Yes0c44,330$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb885…2acfbacked Yes0c42,790$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…b6a9backed Yes0c41,070$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b1e…1e52backed Yes0c41,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff07…1215backed Yes0c40,492$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf0…e5bdbacked Yes0c40,240$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe345…5479backed Yes0c38,060$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea1a…de52backed Yes0c38,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481e…d896backed Yes0c37,060$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe22f…4fb2backed Yes0c37,060$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b2…3b85backed Yes0c37,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df6…ded4backed Yes0c35,430$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a03…a0b7backed Yes0c35,170$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f2…2415backed Yes0c35,070$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x302c…0167backed Yes0c35,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c33…57d3backed Yes0c35,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb23…ac05backed Yes0c32,580$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…d6b6backed Yes0c32,420$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x389d…6365backed Yes0c32,400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70bd…b192backed Yes0c32,220$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a1…8226backed Yes0c32,210$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3d…8c5bbacked Yes0c32,190$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc11…2aefbacked Yes0c32,090$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b3…5adbbacked Yes0c31,790$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a56…6623backed Yes0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c7…e288backed Yes0c30,710$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfca…bb37backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1156…9415backed Yes0c29,220$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec29…33c3backed Yes0c28,850$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…2d74backed Yes0c28,770$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a72…4cfcbacked Yes0c28,230$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a0…96d2backed Yes0c28,220$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f88…7dd1backed Yes0c25,670$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8811…d95ebacked Yes0c25,430$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d8…82b1backed Yes0c25,020$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c9…ccb1backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c25,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x264e…29a9backed Yes0c23,970$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c04…5f89backed Yes0c23,880$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef1…6319backed Yes0c23,580$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e9e…2935backed Yes0c23,260$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934e…ec2bbacked Yes0c23,110$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d99…cae7backed Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6e…99e2backed Yes0c21,880$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e0…8810backed Yes0c21,330$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73cb…2191backed Yes0c21,220$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc84…c643backed Yes0c20,700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8999…1ab2backed Yes0c20,290$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349c…2d15backed Yes0c20,270$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ca…b424backed Yes0c20,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4162…9619backed Yes0c20,110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfe…2530backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f9d…939dbacked Yes0c19,840$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…9ed0backed Yes0c19,750$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9be…281cbacked Yes0c19,020$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22be…1185backed Yes0c18,260$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5e…0d89backed Yes0c17,880$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ee…d37bbacked Yes0c17,180$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.