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F1 · resolved market

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,052,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,896,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,052,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c2,655,047$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.42283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53c…67a5backed Yes0c1,029,628$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c389,289$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.581540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd57…694dbacked Yes0c311,086$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.3920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f2…1240backed Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e6…c1bfbacked Yes0c177,303$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf955…897abacked Yes0c173,477$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c170,281$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.562152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes0c140,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c108,100$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b0…4535backed Yes0c99,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5b…047abacked Yes0c94,681$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes0c80,000$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.145714%8 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…3312backed Yes0c67,400$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fef…839ebacked Yes0c67,111$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c65,021$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.37570%0 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c64,179$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.82248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes1c59,057$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.669219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a3…b419backed Yes0c49,000$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d4…e530backed Yes1c48,366$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c45,618$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.75352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes0c35,912$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.82120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed Yes1c34,986$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.234047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1846…a932backed Yes0c33,758$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46d…ab4bbacked Yes0c33,750$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes0c33,499$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.83917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a41…069abacked Yes1c25,897$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59de…de22backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes1c25,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes1c24,785$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2266136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73be…f0b3backed Yes1c24,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a96…82c1backed Yes0c21,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b1…18ffbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9626…0f11backed Yes1c19,900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb4b…931bbacked Yes0c18,383$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x254a…417abacked Yes0c17,477$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c17,300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c17,201$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.24490%0 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3c…bd35backed Yes0c17,000$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1834…5d3fbacked Yes1c16,039$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0a…1936backed Yes0c15,097$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b77…1ec8backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdf…097bbacked Yes0c14,623$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes2c13,330$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.816225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f52…8c44backed Yes0c13,060$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9642…d2abbacked Yes0c12,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes6c12,332$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.6820843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d8…39ccbacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad14…ce36backed Yes2c10,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6995…c0f3backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc01…603bbacked Yes0c9,500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x027f…9ca1backed Yes0c9,030$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2a…ad9abacked Yes1c8,820$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a6…fb1bbacked Yes2c8,472$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1362810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9f…8772backed Yes1c8,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad48…6978backed Yes0c8,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b29…3812backed Yes0c8,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b67…1b07backed Yes0c7,558$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f9…2bf0backed Yes0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2932…081abacked Yes0c7,333$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c1…fa46backed Yes0c7,028$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.13520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick4cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1834…795abacked Yes0c6,753$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…d77abacked Yes0c6,752$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e8…db37backed Yes0c6,711$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e8…0819backed Yes1c6,711$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.27128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8252…bccdbacked Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51c…ead5backed Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b02…1218backed Yes0c6,542$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a0…ad36backed Yes0c6,235$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…3f0abacked Yes0c6,195$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes1c6,082$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.337233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae86…6e6abacked Yes0c6,037$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5970…e140backed Yes0c6,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4a…d51dbacked Yes0c6,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3a…ef0ebacked Yes0c6,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2504…acd3backed Yes0c5,835$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacde…bb66backed Yes0c5,600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Yes11c5,589$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf034…9766backed Yes0c5,560$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1799…609cbacked Yes0c5,333$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4154…fd47backed Yes0c5,240$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675e…11a8backed Yes4c5,238$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-55.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834a…8fc7backed Yes0c5,186$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa211…ce78backed Yes1c5,114$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5412…0185backed Yes0c5,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes2c5,005$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.126835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfe…893ebacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949f…cf94backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5845…e7bcbacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa125…7f82backed Yes0c4,997$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb192…cc5cbacked Yes1c4,962$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eba…a88dbacked Yes1c4,787$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f4…5d55backed Yes0c4,719$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe465…1feabacked Yes0c4,640$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cc…ed76backed Yes1c4,618$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes12c4,589$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.872254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65d5…acc5backed Yes0c4,490$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.