TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd36a…ecf5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST5367.9%36 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,727.4
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$847.28
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$112.82
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$700
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+156.4%+$234.62
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$47.67
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$62.77
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$129.45
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$63.38
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$52
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$58
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$221.64
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$77.27
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$133.33
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+83.6%+$167.23
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+54.1%+$177.2
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+67.8%+$135.54
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$281.91
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-71.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.26
Will The Left (Levica) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will Workers’ Party of Bangladesh win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Chart Thai Pattana Party (CTPP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+39%+$39.03
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+95.8%+$502.75
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will another candidate win Bolivian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+222.6%+$333.87
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+203%+$304.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-55.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$380
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.