TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Clippers, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,010,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,258,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,010,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,573 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Clippers32c470,972$149,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,058.1543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers68c354,074$242,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,812.5523257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Clippers32c239,421$76,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,614.6472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Lakers69c199,606$138,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,341.192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers70c148,304$103,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,531.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers32c122,248$38,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,819.4648343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Lakers68c114,689$78,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,326.3722453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers30c95,188$28,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,556.3987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Lakers69c94,888$65,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,415.215658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Clippers31c90,400$27,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,773.9519653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Clippers31c72,499$22,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,474.651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Clippers11c65,027$6,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,932.031,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers32c63,466$20,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,309.121,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Lakers68c59,613$40,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,076.3114663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers69c52,543$36,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,388.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers69c50,133$34,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,541.2651350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Lakers69c49,677$34,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,3293348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Clippers32c44,055$14,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,097.78944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Lakers69c42,272$29,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,104.315349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Clippers1c41,265$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1542348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers29c40,451$11,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,618.571,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Clippers31c40,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,399.994235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Lakers73c37,538$27,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,005.8151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers69c36,678$25,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,526.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Lakers69c36,226$24,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,229.9310158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Clippers29c34,412$9,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,979.5538253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Lakers65c33,918$21,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,941.671,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Lakers69c29,350$20,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,163.128554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers22c29,036$6,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,516.11,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers22c25,933$5,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,764.331,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Clippers15c25,910$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,769.591,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers22c25,894$5,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,684.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed Clippers0c25,029$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.976939.1%27 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Clippers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Clippers31c24,932$7,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,728.9629650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe153…7103backed Lakers73c24,000$17,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,479.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Clippers31c23,924$7,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,301.2113842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Lakers69c23,331$16,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,232.636741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers68c21,762$14,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,892.482,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Clippers27c21,717$5,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,842.747142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers67c21,406$14,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,987.7893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…d373backed Lakers69c20,123$13,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,238.132147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Clippers31c20,064$6,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,303.2720551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Clippers31c19,104$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Lakers68c17,486$11,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,561.0517454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Lakers68c16,000$10,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,119.994856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Clippers32c15,998$5,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.3615247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Lakers72c15,537$11,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,367.962864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Clippers33c15,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Lakers70c14,867$10,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.150241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Clippers22c14,569$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,170.294231%13 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Lakers69c14,475$9,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,487.2537557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers33c14,026$4,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,566.643,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Lakers54c13,931$7,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.161346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ed…4ae2backed Lakers72c13,864$10,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers68c12,799$8,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,065.163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Lakers70c12,100$8,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.9829250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Lakers71c12,031$8,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.199345.2%42 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Clippers29c12,028$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.149655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Clippers30c12,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Lakers70c12,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6008052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Clippers42c11,405$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,743.5819136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Clippers40c11,229$4,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,542.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Lakers73c11,015$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.7838046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e72…d31ebacked Clippers30c10,727$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd9…77f6backed Clippers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Clippers30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Lakers69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Lakers53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.951,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers31c9,094$2,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.362,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Clippers27c8,813$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.5113142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Clippers23c8,745$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.829424.5%23 W · 71 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Clippers38c8,180$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.9148956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Lakers69c8,008$5,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.6228649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Clippers28c7,705$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.226640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers13c7,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.152,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50b…672dbacked Lakers76c7,470$5,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers25c6,873$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.632,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Lakers77c6,867$5,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.8117051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Lakers71c6,801$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.2123747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers31c6,491$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0101,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Clippers31c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Clippers32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Clippers32c6,016$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92528742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Clippers27c6,002$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.1423833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Lakers69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86017646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Lakers69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86018151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Clippers24c6,000$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41313625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Lakers68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92041652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Lakers73c5,798$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.453455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…445abacked Lakers69c5,713$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f677backed Lakers70c5,711$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Clippers27c5,685$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.271,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Lakers75c5,585$4,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.646459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e0…175cbacked Clippers29c5,506$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-70.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clippers12c5,421$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.061,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lakers69c5,197$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Lakers72c5,104$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.038063.8%51 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.