TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Lakers, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers50c32,958$16,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,393.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Clippers51c20,400$10,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9965658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Clippers50c18,307$9,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,153.675139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers50c10,045$5,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.712,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Clippers50c7,068$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.7331044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Lakers49c6,336$3,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,082.5459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers49c4,726$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.222,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers49c4,607$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers49c4,292$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.881,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers35c3,650$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.181,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Lakers52c3,266$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.5669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Clippers52c2,731$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.9151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Clippers52c2,650$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Lakers49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Clippers51c2,157$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.8648546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Clippers47c2,006$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.2218536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Clippers52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.085100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Clippers54c1,859$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.4876746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers50c1,762$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers48c1,754$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.851,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers50c1,528$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.33,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers50c1,528$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers52c1,418$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.8882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Clippers50c1,393$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.2917331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Lakers50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Clippers52c1,157$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.411,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc857…9e70backed Clippers45c1,109$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+61.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Clippers49c1,093$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.3321250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers51c1,072$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lakers63c1,049$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.5433146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lakers34c980$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.12,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Clippers52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5431453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers48c839.18$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers51c825.07$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.595,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Clippers50c800$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40480737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers48c653.6$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.731,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Lakers49c651.3$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1438251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Clippers48c630$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.630452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers55c587.19$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.963,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.911,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Clippers51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.232151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers46c457.72$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7644352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers48c426.93$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.812,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Clippers60c420$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers52c399.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3389050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcac0…7fe9backed Lakers52c384.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.893063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+37.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Lakers51c367$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1750241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers47c362.39$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.953,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers58c333.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.163,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Clippers48c331.25$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2513536.3%49 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Clippers47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1528046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Clippers48c304.17$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1762347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers50c300.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.654,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Clippers53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0212151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lakers60c282$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.531,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Lakers60c267$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.222343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Clippers52c264.32$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Lakers52c254.17$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1726949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Clippers48c254.17$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.173342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Clippers52c251.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.337251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers48c247$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.133,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x470d…7278backed Clippers60c245.9$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.261060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Lakers11c237.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1511128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Clippers48c234$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6811245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Clippers53c223.02$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8217960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Lakers46c217.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.611,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers13c216.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d34…05d8backed Lakers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9852844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Clippers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9495548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Lakers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Lakers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Lakers47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9435444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Clippers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3136450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Clippers55c182.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2881845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers38c168.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.143,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Lakers48c165.15$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.271,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Clippers62c162.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4436453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Clippers48c158.27$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.354747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers47c155$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.152,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers39c152.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Lakers49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.510149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Lakers47c144.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Clippers42c143.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0828537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Clippers49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8621743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers52c140.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.671,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Clippers51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Clippers53c134.62$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Clippers47c132.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.241,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Lakers50c119.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.278456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc871…7d99backed Clippers50c116.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7646826.5%124 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d3…0d2abacked Lakers45c108.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.211127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+161.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lakers47c105.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.662,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Lakers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Lakers11c103.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.241,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Clippers51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0417845.5%81 W · 97 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.