TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe987…b9c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT4926.5%13 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+1,403.1%+$228.56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.74
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+389%+$624.7
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+253%+$215.26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.57
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$34.12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.09
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+178.5%+$64.96
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+317.4%+$51.46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.42
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$297.32
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.03
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-53.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.17
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$158.9
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.7
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$187.45
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.64
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.3
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.47
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$109.73
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$782.02
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$363.54
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.66
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+79.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$528.72
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.24
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.17
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$119.88
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,048.97
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65.54
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$334.93
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+65.2%+$651.98
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Leal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33.26
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$38.07
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Leavitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+344.7%+$68.93
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Carli Judice (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or below on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.71
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.14
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C or higher on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.8
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.88
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.19
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.22
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$6.79
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49.73
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.34
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.88
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$25.93
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+71.3%+$194.57
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$430.71
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$923.08
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$9.1
Will XRP dip to $1.20 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+56.5%+$38.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: IK Start (-2.5)backed IK Start · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Spread: IK Start (-1.5)backed IK Start · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+89%+$55.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$314.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$9.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.