UFC · resolved market
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb434f45814470fd0678b17c3261a278022b3c51122009182e0b0380ffb3e1a83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perryof Diaz, Perry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $577,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Perry | 59c | 96,018$56,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,367.23 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Diaz | 40c | 86,166$34,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,765.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Perry | 59c | 60,000$35,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,599.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…db9cbacked Diaz | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Diaz | 41c | 31,339$12,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,846.87 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked Perry | 61c | 16,409$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,409.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Perry | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.92 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Diaz | 36c | 12,975$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.79 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Perry | 60c | 11,679$7,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.54 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Diaz | 39c | 10,650$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,148.39 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Diaz | 33c | 10,209$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.33 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed Diaz | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Perry | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Diaz | 32c | 6,839$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.13 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Perry | 60c | 6,658$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Diaz | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Perry | 60c | 5,558$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.2 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Perry | 70c | 5,000$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Diaz | 42c | 4,797$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…f93dbacked Diaz | 41c | 4,784$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Diaz | 26c | 4,677$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…8d54backed Diaz | 2c | 4,100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Perry | 58c | 3,954$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Perry | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Perry | 60c | 3,061$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.12 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…03cbbacked Perry | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…ffb0backed Perry | 66c | 2,941$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…65fabacked Perry | 60c | 2,929$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Perry | 60c | 2,836$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.3 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x293a…e786backed Diaz | 23c | 2,803$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…8052backed Diaz | 39c | 2,750$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Perry | 71c | 2,467$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.42 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Perry | 60c | 2,424$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.65 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Perry | 61c | 2,346$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.55 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Perry | 63c | 2,237$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.6 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Diaz | 37c | 2,162$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Perry | 63c | 2,066$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.23 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Diaz | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Diaz | 37c | 1,993$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.24 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Diaz | 23c | 1,921$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.55 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…6657backed Diaz | 41c | 1,896$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…7abbbacked Perry | 61c | 1,873$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Diaz | 40c | 1,778$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Diaz | 39c | 1,730$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Perry | 60c | 1,643$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.05 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Diaz | 36c | 1,484$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Perry | 69c | 1,416$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.17 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Perry | 74c | 1,331$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…b9c5backed Perry | 60c | 1,322$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…2fc8backed Perry | 63c | 1,274$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Perry | 60c | 1,251$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.53 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Diaz | 41c | 1,214$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…0f63backed Perry | 60c | 1,163$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Perry | 59c | 1,153$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.9 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Perry | 72c | 1,132$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Diaz | 29c | 1,109$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.09 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Perry | 66c | 1,103$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.1 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Diaz | 39c | 1,028$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Diaz | 37c | 1,004$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.14 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Perry | 58c | 1,001$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Perry | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Diaz | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Perry | 61c | 999.97$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…59a3backed Diaz | 41c | 986.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c8…d45dbacked Diaz | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…68a0backed Perry | 72c | 971.38$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…ba1fbacked Diaz | 39c | 940$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0267backed Diaz | 39c | 923.94$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.34 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…e7cabacked Perry | 77c | 916.02$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 110 | 78.2%86 W · 24 L | +15.6wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Diaz | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da7…9272backed Diaz | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Diaz | 37c | 836.01$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.32 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Perry | 66c | 832.1$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Diaz | 34c | 823.58$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 385 | 53.2%205 W · 180 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Perry | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…3699backed Perry | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Diaz | 33c | 804.28$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.41 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Diaz | 38c | 800$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Perry | 63c | 794.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Diaz | 39c | 773.85$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Diaz | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…739abacked Diaz | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…9542backed Diaz | 41c | 720.49$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Diaz | 41c | 719.15$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.85 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Diaz | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Diaz | 40c | 699.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Perry | 61c | 681.28$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.9 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…2fe1backed Diaz | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Diaz | 36c | 609.92$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Perry | 62c | 561.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7c3bbacked Perry | 63c | 516.51$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Diaz | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…f36ebacked Perry | 64c | 501.13$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc8…535cbacked Diaz | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Diaz | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…6c73backed Perry | 60c | 497.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Diaz | 40c | 493.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…da93backed Diaz | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…a92cbacked Diaz | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b5…68e1backed Perry | 63c | 475.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.