TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36ed…4a93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT5052%26 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.84
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Chelsea Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$219.99
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$215.99
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Angela Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$68.63
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.41
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Timmy Cuamba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.53
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$125.96
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$409.99
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$395
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$782
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$163.13
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$226.82
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Michelle Montague · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+36%+$191.11
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.92
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.96
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.61
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$125.76
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$151.64
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.63
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+218.7%+$549
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.8
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.73
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$150
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.43
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$393.5
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.98
Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.42
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$103.03
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.47
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$336
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$251.89
Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 10.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$53.58
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$72.4
LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.74
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$132
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$264.64
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.16
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$326.32
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$320.14
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$142.18
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$32.04
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$137.43
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.83
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.39
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$190
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+240.9%+$134.97
Will Kendrick Lamar win 5 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+854.6%+$89.24
Will Kendrick Lamar win 4 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$364.69
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$105.5
Will "tv off - Kendrick Lamar Featuring Lefty Gunplay" win Best Rap Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.71
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be 600k or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.6
The Life of a Showgirl Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$174.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+322.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Masters 2026: Rory McIlroy vs. Scottie Schefflerbacked Scheffler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.71
The Masters 2026: Bryson DeChambeau vs. Jon Rahmbacked Rahm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$46.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Wagner Seahawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$121.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+51%+$260.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.