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WNBA · resolved market

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x067f…e041backed Yes25c4,000$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9952330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb2…682cbacked No76c3,064$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe45b…627bbacked Yes48c2,509$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x662c…bfe7backed No59c2,261$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.04366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No52c2,249$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.12646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked Yes39c2,172$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.05450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed No52c2,019$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No47c1,934$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8da…f944backed Yes21c1,800$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No53c1,720$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No59c1,672$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe032…4168backed Yes9c1,656$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.45933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae3e…e452backed No59c1,654$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x138d…635cbacked No63c1,578$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce66…cc64backed No67c1,545$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc561…fa80backed No55c1,349$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.05560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes45c1,300$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed No8c1,298$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick7cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No61c1,276$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.662365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e35…7c22backed Yes50c1,220$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb67…fd55backed No63c1,184$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5afdbacked Yes36c1,110$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes46c1,033$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7952…a6e6backed Yes49c1,004$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked No61c999.99$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf172…5688backed No52c961.43$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df6…652abacked Yes28c933.91$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes47c899.98$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef5…1a76backed No60c896.64$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8416…4bc7backed Yes57c892.46$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff76…9c05backed No56c888.52$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3489…31f6backed No57c882.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes42c819.62$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.033531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4825…5ec5backed No65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked No54c799.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b4…5d13backed Yes55c774.93$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed No49c710.34$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe934…675bbacked Yes49c688$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda20…0cbebacked Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8319…ba9ebacked Yes48c620.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…a350backed No52c603.16$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.81785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e0e…fdb4backed Yes47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…05f9backed No51c588.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f3…d859backed No60c577.77$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1d…261abacked Yes45c568.06$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.13742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x467e…220ebacked Yes41c565.34$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No53c554.9$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.31471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff76…11c9backed Yes46c554.35$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+92.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes39c553.51$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.159839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes43c550.4$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Yes42c546.56$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c1…8696backed Yes47c535.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc6…b817backed Yes47c529.97$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3762…35cabacked Yes52c510.21$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…411cbacked Yes45c500.99$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x382c…a0d7backed Yes41c500$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d7…3d6bbacked No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed No57c499.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7383…58dcbacked No60c496.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6608…4d0cbacked No54c493.13$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed No67c490.58$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No53c486.51$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.851631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x651a…b248backed No57c486.36$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a73…0839backed No52c478.92$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5912…6c5fbacked Yes45c464$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked No46c449.98$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes36c439.4$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.842524%6 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5281…8e04backed Yes37c419.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb579…71aabacked No53c414.98$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Yes29c400$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes35c399.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No56c399.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5925…36b2backed Yes19c394.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb80…d977backed No50c392.96$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6c…e7ecbacked No49c385.81$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72a…3339backed Yes49c383.09$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d0…b0cabacked Yes52c381.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2516…f107backed No80c376.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a72…2b45backed Yes38c355.42$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc14…771abacked Yes43c351.58$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed No49c335.55$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.131464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes47c333$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes39c322.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.611225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…ca45backed Yes16c322$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked No51c300.32$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes36c299.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.832766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0332…8e01backed Yes40c297.56$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb206…f717backed Yes48c293.56$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x181a…db66backed No52c286.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…503fbacked Yes36c286.15$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed No72c283.22$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x515a…269abacked Yes36c283.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e7…3e3bbacked Yes50c281.89$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f9…d046backed No54c276.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ad…cc30backed Yes38c275.06$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd151…2fd4backed Yes30c275$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc726…c39abacked No66c274.95$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a26…915dbacked No65c269.43$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba9e…58debacked Yes55c268.02$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.