TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Tuesday?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf013…ac6abacked Yes27c3,688$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa781…5c2ebacked Yes19c3,470$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…3b41backed Yes19c2,698$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe032…4168backed Yes5c2,421$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.12933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes12c2,063$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.31631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes15c2,034$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.773531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes16c2,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes7c1,921$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes12c1,792$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.781225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6608…4d0cbacked Yes10c1,522$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0303…fcd1backed Yes8c1,480$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes15c1,053$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5927232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes11c1,018$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…333abacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed No77c968.69$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb860…379dbacked Yes16c935.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes10c756.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.942524%6 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5925…36b2backed Yes8c742.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9750%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d5…bff2backed Yes18c707.44$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f9…ad42backed Yes12c664.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes6c650$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Yes16c638.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1566…0fc6backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ca…c807backed Yes17c539.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d94…e7f7backed Yes14c535.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf950…81d1backed Yes17c453.46$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.96633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042e…6706backed Yes16c446.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes13c426.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.49170%0 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca63…4f88backed Yes12c417$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…ca45backed Yes3c400$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No78c399.67$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes11c390.82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes16c357.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes13c350$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb14a…27aabacked Yes23c347.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc193…872dbacked Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e5…b7e6backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5afdbacked Yes19c271$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d3…4ca5backed Yes8c264.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1708…727dbacked Yes13c260.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478d…e4bbbacked Yes10c238.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc04c…c76dbacked Yes8c236.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes8c235$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-59.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3157…3234backed Yes16c219.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a5…6721backed Yes15c209.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7be…8500backed Yes19c206.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4a…bbefbacked Yes20c202.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7c…8356backed Yes7c200.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2def…651dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…b56dbacked Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x069c…96e4backed Yes21c188.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x247d…7d27backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…6461backed Yes10c181.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeab…1d36backed Yes9c175.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f6…8812backed Yes16c150$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…a1fabacked Yes8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd70a…0eedbacked Yes37c135.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee6…37d1backed Yes19c132.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f8…ae16backed Yes15c131.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…abc1backed Yes17c129.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3bc…5c7bbacked Yes16c125.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcc…f297backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee4…3337backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x493c…a430backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbc…4f9dbacked No62c120$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70cf…66a9backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…2ca7backed Yes18c112.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-64.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e8f…f9e9backed Yes13c112.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes24c110$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Yes10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x772e…a7eebacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7966…ae0fbacked Yes19c104.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9051…c2ebbacked Yes24c104.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed Yes14c102$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+122.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf17…d849backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3830…8c68backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x411d…bf7abacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8151…0792backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6596…f333backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes11c98.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-57.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c8…0747backed Yes15c97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…a350backed No75c91.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a2…57febacked Yes14c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafb8…d9c1backed Yes14c89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9923…0b84backed Yes21c88.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes20c83.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8e…579cbacked Yes14c75.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd15b…ce17backed Yes22c74.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8360…9518backed Yes21c70.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa688…5f80backed Yes15c66.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106050%30 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…634ebacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f7…2501backed No78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a25…81d1backed No72c53.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb48…e5cbbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.