TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd011…761fbacked Yes37c7,232$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,525.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+167.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb2…682cbacked No62c3,020$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes38c2,819$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No69c2,703$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.031471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a25…81d1backed No62c1,690$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes33c1,602$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.852330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3fa…ba98backed No1c1,571$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2023…c7e1backed Yes34c1,505$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes30c1,073$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.163531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x662c…bfe7backed No71c1,052$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.31366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed No61c999.99$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d2…6031backed No4c899.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9069…f283backed No75c853.75$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4825…5ec5backed No65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed No73c695.38$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Yes24c599.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+111.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1d…261abacked Yes30c574.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.13742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1383…bf84backed Yes49c568.17$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed No64c562.11$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b06…846dbacked No78c562$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba5…2bddbacked Yes37c547.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes29c503.1$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3e…eec6backed No65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked No68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No77c489.06$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9f…8e3abacked Yes35c485.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfef5…1a76backed No59c469.89$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed No74c426.56$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes30c423.43$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.899839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01dc…577ebacked No72c419.94$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac2…9895backed No68c400.96$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No75c393.47$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…a350backed No55c381.2$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.34785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd151…2fd4backed Yes33c371.38$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed No72c328$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes45c320.35$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes33c320$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b6…d759backed No66c315.43$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.62366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes27c304.32$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.552646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa015…80bbbacked Yes31c302.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc561…fa80backed No71c300$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…411cbacked Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7077…2979backed Yes59c299.16$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No67c298.4$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.911631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe781…5e52backed No68c292.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed No72c271.76$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No55c271.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57ac…2d85backed No55c270$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked No57c262.1$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f0d…cb1abacked No59c252.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Yes32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98cc…5fd4backed No73c250$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes26c239.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee3…53bbbacked Yes27c237.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.18520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe032…4168backed Yes29c236.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.05933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c3…a1acbacked No65c231.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90be…c800backed Yes19c228.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+237%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9051…c2ebbacked Yes45c224.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5d…72e4backed No74c222.07$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f7…2501backed No67c210$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8496…1cecbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f3…d859backed No45c207.36$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.38450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f25…056ebacked Yes49c205.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed No77c200$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4083…363fbacked Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed No12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b88…86c4backed Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1421100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x700c…9368backed No51c195.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No53c190.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.08540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2b…6c15backed Yes39c182.55$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec8…1e92backed Yes50c178.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No66c178$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.482568%17 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…503fbacked Yes28c178$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes29c173.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed No10c167.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e80…4dddbacked No73c164.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed Yes22c162.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+122.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Yes78c155.67$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes29c145$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+58.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e00…ea54backed No71c141.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe444…e0d4backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…9bd0backed No73c136.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8151…0792backed Yes29c132.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a0…e5f6backed No77c129.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed No74c129$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.07366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed No60c126$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.34683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e7…0ffabacked No73c125.45$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d07…293fbacked No61c123.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes37c111.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.722524%6 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes27c111$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c97…1b68backed No49c110.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Yes26c109.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.351942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd189…06f4backed No74c106.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No47c101$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.47624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No69c100.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.