TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Wednesday?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb100…6461backed No77c13,752$10,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.821471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No69c5,583$3,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.6414450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9142…7651backed Yes26c3,911$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591f…5610backed Yes1c3,276$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes29c3,000$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1d…261abacked Yes23c2,466$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.38742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No75c2,159$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+57.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2023…c7e1backed Yes23c2,091$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed No74c1,739$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.142254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6312…526abacked Yes31c1,629$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ca…5830backed Yes19c1,543$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed No76c1,542$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x382c…a0d7backed Yes29c1,500$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…b56dbacked Yes25c1,300$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x658c…0c6abacked Yes29c1,100$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes25c1,082$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.429839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f33…5e33backed Yes28c1,025$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No74c996.21$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.31650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Yes27c920$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2b…12e3backed Yes26c903.85$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd872…b4cfbacked Yes23c863.1$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4825…5ec5backed No77c799.99$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed No74c796$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No76c774.42$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.132568%17 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf430…81b3backed Yes18c773.53$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3965…8548backed Yes25c764.23$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ac…2d85backed Yes26c620$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes9c603.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.53170%0 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No72c590$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.672646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e7…0ffabacked No74c540$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes30c507.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f25…056ebacked Yes32c474.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.91520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c3…d6d6backed Yes31c418.71$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…f2edbacked Yes31c406.04$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9051…c2ebbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No68c399.99$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f3…224bbacked Yes26c398.35$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f85…b427backed Yes27c363.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…0deabacked Yes25c356$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x416a…16e4backed Yes29c348.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x440d…d128backed Yes29c341.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes29c340$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700c…9368backed No74c337.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…8fa9backed Yes30c333.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…b53abacked Yes30c330.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7122…4e23backed Yes24c291.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad5…2845backed Yes29c279.59$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf9…74e6backed Yes31c273.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed No74c272.02$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da7…ca6cbacked No75c268.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6f…d9dfbacked Yes30c265.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No75c265.61$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.411631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d62…3d06backed Yes30c251.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No80c226$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed No67c223.5$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa660…3ebbbacked Yes30c209.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…29dbbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c97…1b68backed No73c192.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes20c190$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f7…2501backed No78c185.74$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.44862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7077…2979backed Yes27c182.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb0…01f6backed Yes17c181.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe032…4168backed Yes17c180$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f3…d859backed No70c176.63$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f77…fdb8backed Yes28c176.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1880%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4d…d21cbacked Yes28c175.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe982…cfb8backed Yes29c171.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes20c171$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.35624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed No72c168$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2039…151cbacked Yes26c161.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1007…0912backed Yes22c158.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d0…9637backed No72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4083…363fbacked Yes19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe341…7dbebacked Yes27c140$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…c131backed No80c139$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cf…1bd5backed Yes31c135.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes25c133.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.832524%6 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5da…a6b4backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f2…99ecbacked No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x268b…024fbacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe857…ec19backed Yes28c132.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No71c130$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-65%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes29c123.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc561…fa80backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832f…df63backed No77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x518e…4522backed Yes28c115$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52f…0425backed No75c113.65$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x870a…bd43backed No79c112.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8496…1cecbacked Yes23c109.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes17c106.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.