TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c54…f00e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST6061.7%37 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$76.22
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$35.29
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+34.7%+$34.67
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$21.47
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.29
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$13.75
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$146.83
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$188.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$62.5
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$212.96
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$128.79
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$202.17
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$184.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$127.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$138.05
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$9.03
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+37.3%+$55.89
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$61.27
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$153.23
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$457.27
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$22.4
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$70.16
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Spread: Notre Dame (-12.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Solana reach $240 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by KO/TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+267.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+267.1%+$1,068.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$156.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.