Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d538f9722943ad5cce6962ea63fc1053e10462b0cca99d6e8e3e3a65e39edda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 36c | 124,343$44,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,834.07 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 64c | 43,000$27,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,338.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 65c | 40,000$25,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,981.14 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 47c | 10,690$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.07 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 36c | 9,873$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,318.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 6,104$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.28 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…3a5bbacked Yes | 64c | 5,972$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 63c | 5,100$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 64c | 4,866$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 37c | 4,865$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.86 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.97 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 63c | 3,675$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 45c | 3,532$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.54 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 64c | 3,518$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.23 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Yes | 65c | 3,346$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 36c | 3,300$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.94 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 35c | 3,185$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.95 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 65c | 3,001$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d9…964dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,923$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 35c | 2,600$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.92 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 46c | 2,310$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.59 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 65c | 2,077$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 37c | 1,968$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 20c | 1,918$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.88 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…a39cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,847$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…fd4cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,553$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 55c | 1,519$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.93 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 58c | 1,493$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 44c | 1,484$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.08 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 36c | 1,402$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.53 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 63c | 1,311$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 57c | 1,297$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.53 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 64c | 1,250$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 36c | 1,123$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.52 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yes | 35c | 1,102$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…084fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 72c | 1,022$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.3 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 48c | 1,021$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.92 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 34c | 995.55$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.09 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 37c | 994.59$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 37c | 977.24$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 65c | 965.26$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…b6b1backed Yes | 45c | 889.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 3c | 799.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 19c | 795$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 64c | 785.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Yes | 67c | 747.18$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 65c | 715.38$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 64c | 697.45$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 66c | 675.55$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 61c | 671.15$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 64c | 612.5$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…d9f7backed Yes | 64c | 601.56$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 36c | 574.11$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.43 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 65c | 554.99$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.74 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 525.44$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.37 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 66c | 509.32$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.15 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 64c | 501.04$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 36c | 491.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.42 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked No | 54c | 490.78$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 64c | 470$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…a356backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…3f5abacked Yes | 65c | 459.29$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 64c | 441.58$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.61 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 36c | 440$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 37c | 427.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.45 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 65c | 408.37$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked Yes | 40c | 406.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes | 64c | 391.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Yes | 53c | 377.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…6f6cbacked Yes | 32c | 375.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 36c | 373$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 55c | 369.81$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes | 63c | 368.73$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 36c | 366.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 52c | 364.52$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.79 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 65c | 351.24$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.64 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 60c | 347.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ede8backed Yes | 58c | 344.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 27c | 314.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.17 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…31a3backed Yes | 64c | 310.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…f55abacked Yes | 64c | 305.38$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 66c | 301.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Verona vs. Juventus end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Verona win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.