TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6466…4633

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT8540%34 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
European Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.28
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+93.1%+$102.38
Almaty Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$283.33
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$237
Ningbo Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Yue Yuanbacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Japan Women's Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.49
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
European Open: Marcos Giron vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+170.7%+$400.35
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Francisco Comesanabacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Sebastian Korda vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+176.9%+$151.92
European Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Valentin Royerbacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$122.38
Almaty Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
Almaty Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$108.38
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Giulio Zeppieribacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$88.23
Almaty Open, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.85
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Wuhan Tennis Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Laura Siegemundbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juncheng Shang vs Nuno Borgesbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.06
China Open: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.01
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Brandon Nakashima vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.15
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$77.36
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT4337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$256.67
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.63
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+100%+$56.53
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$149
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.38
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+89.6%+$241.9
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+162.7%+$162.98
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.82
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+54%+$30.7
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.36
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Nationals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.63
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$136
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+100.2%+$170.27
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.53
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Giants vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.8
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+56.8%+$96.06
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$170.77
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.14
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+115.6%+$262.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+186.7%+$149.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Imperial (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.56
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.68
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.98
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$139.52
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+98.8%+$218.44
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs ENCE (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$52.22
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegionbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs RUBYbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
CS: paiN vs Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.94
CS: Astralis vs paiNbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.33
CS: Falcons vs FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: FNC vs GXbacked FNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$51.66
LoL: RED vs SRbacked SR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.8
CS: FURIA vs G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$217
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.64
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. Imperialbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.41
BLAST Bounty: MOUZ vs. Astralisbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.25
BLAST Bounty: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.99
BLAST Bounty: Liquid vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
BLAST Bounty: Virtus.Pro vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.74
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.88
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Forsaken vs eSuba (BO3)backed eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.78
LoL: Misa Esports vs Los Ratones (BO3)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+203%+$67.91
LoL: Alpha7 Esports vs Isurus (BO5)backed Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$96.13
LoL: Los Heretics vs Misa Esports (BO1)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
League of Legends: Karmine Corp vs. Team Vitalitybacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$183.88
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. KT Rolsterbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+525%+$157.5
League of Legends: Odivelas Sports Club vs. FlameHardbacked FlameHard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.7
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. Fnaticbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$21.45
League of Legends: FlyQuest vs. 100 Thievesbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.96
League of Legends: Shopify Rebellion vs. 100 Thievesbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.77
League of Legends: paiN Gaming vs. RED Canidsbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.73
League of Legends: Gentle Mates vs. Solarybacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.82
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.37
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.93
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. BNK FEARXbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.09
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.51
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.31
League of Legends: T1 vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.06
League of Legends: Movistar KOI Fénix vs. UCAM Esports Clubbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$53.76
League of Legends: LYON vs. FlyQuestbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. GIANTXbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+106.2%+$497.24
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$18.03
Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$64.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$177
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+76.3%+$293.4
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$266.67
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$100.28
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.24
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+54%+$31
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$859.16
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.33
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.1
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$245.47
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$107.33
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$732.11
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$150.59
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$129.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Basel win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$254
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ferencvarosi TC win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Celta de Vigo win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+73.4%+$275.19
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+127.2%+$254.44
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$246.11
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$95.35
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+75.5%+$301.86
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$220.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$524.62
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$315.21
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+97%+$96.96
Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.68
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+93.1%+$249.48
Will Girona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.19
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.83
Will Alaves win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+56.8%+$123.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.44per pick55cpaid-82.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-10-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will SC Recife vs. Ceará SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+58.6%+$241.83
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.36
Will CA River Plate win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.78
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.8
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.65
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$631.91
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$48.77
Texans vs. Ramsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.04
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$13.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs DRXbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$128.51
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$42.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fresno State vs. Hawai'ibacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$21.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.