Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Flavio Cobolli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19239f8104b044322befb6a7cb78f3b2c93c22a130827884ad5acbc79d887667
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Munarof Munar, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Munar | 45c | 4,599$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Cobolli | 55c | 2,657$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.51 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Munar | 60c | 2,183$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cobolli | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cobolli | 36c | 1,398$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.08 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Munar | 44c | 1,086$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.96 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Cobolli | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cobolli | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cobolli | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Cobolli | 54c | 666.82$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.55 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Munar | 47c | 604.18$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.22 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Cobolli | 54c | 538.78$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Cobolli | 58c | 518.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Munar | 47c | 512.77$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Munar | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cobolli | 45c | 464$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Cobolli | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…8a5abacked Cobolli | 48c | 416.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Cobolli | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Munar | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Munar | 52c | 231.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Cobolli | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Munar | 47c | 200.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Cobolli | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cobolli | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Munar | 45c | 181$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Munar | 52c | 166$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Munar | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Munar | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Cobolli | 53c | 101.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cobolli | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Cobolli | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Cobolli | 41c | 98.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cobolli | 53c | 64.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Cobolli | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Cobolli | 31c | 53.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cobolli | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Munar | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…47b0backed Cobolli | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Cobolli | 51c | 31.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed Munar | 46c | 30.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.