TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xef13…53d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
333
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT25043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 250 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$508.87
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.49
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Parma: Miguel Damas vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Gironbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+162.2%+$956.11
HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguezbacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.25
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+305%+$662.74
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+355.4%+$187.3
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romanobacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$355.38
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Gironbacked Daniel Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$777
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$882.86
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,729
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$752.5
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$294.28
Showing 25 of 250 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.85
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$34.13
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$70.56
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$539.02
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$375.25
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$618.39
Argentina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$466.16
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$538.46
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$318.59
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$334.55
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,555.54
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$146.77
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$267.51
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$434.48
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.89
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$876.19
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.86
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.81
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$51.65
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$13.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$70.17
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Manchester City beat Arsenal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Colombia wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will another team win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.61
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+84%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Luka Doncic 30+ points in every game of NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.