TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Emma Raducanuof Emma Raducanu, Iva Jovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$406,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Iva Jovic25c36,075$8,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,973.18,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Iva Jovic35c35,520$12,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,451.378,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Emma Raducanu55c17,420$9,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,760.4334457.6%198 W · 146 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Emma Raducanu75c12,675$9,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,192.31,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Emma Raducanu75c11,735$8,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.847061.4%43 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Iva Jovic38c10,100$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,83845036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Emma Raducanu39c9,745$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,944.9642131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Iva Jovic31c8,018$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49410642.5%45 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Iva Jovic12c7,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87530827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Emma Raducanu24c7,134$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,423.335343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Emma Raducanu68c6,837$4,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.043,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Iva Jovic44c5,524$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.954138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe713…c9a0backed Iva Jovic56c5,313$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.111567%77 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Iva Jovic27c5,188$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.2811,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Iva Jovic35c4,978$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.9493140.4%376 W · 555 L-32.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Iva Jovic36c4,429$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.874,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Emma Raducanu25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Emma Raducanu76c3,677$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.5234655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked Emma Raducanu75c3,500$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8759259.8%55 W · 37 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Emma Raducanu69c3,072$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.4635951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Iva Jovic34c3,041$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.1353942.1%227 W · 312 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Iva Jovic37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11033342.6%142 W · 191 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Iva Jovic46c2,939$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35039238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Iva Jovic57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50026847.8%128 W · 140 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Iva Jovic38c2,600$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98822842.5%97 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Iva Jovic40c2,576$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0301,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Iva Jovic2c2,222$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.441,2058%96 W · 1,109 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Emma Raducanu50c2,212$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.2422062.7%138 W · 82 L+15.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Emma Raducanu62c2,151$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.2952152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Iva Jovic33c2,121$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Iva Jovic39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78039438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Emma Raducanu60c2,000$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.899,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Iva Jovic36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72016948.5%82 W · 87 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Iva Jovic65c1,914$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.5625464.6%164 W · 90 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6c…d56cbacked Emma Raducanu31c1,793$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.0624451.6%126 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Emma Raducanu48c1,782$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.6548555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Emma Raducanu29c1,710$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.811,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Emma Raducanu38c1,582$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.0620045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Iva Jovic31c1,532$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.7742839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Iva Jovic15c1,488$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22542934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Emma Raducanu56c1,456$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.9563965.9%421 W · 218 L+2.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Emma Raducanu76c1,417$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.6511963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Iva Jovic18c1,167$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Iva Jovic26c1,166$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,66752.8%881 W · 786 L+43.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Iva Jovic33c1,091$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.681,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Iva Jovic46c1,085$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.684763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Iva Jovic28c1,063$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.435,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b0…072ebacked Iva Jovic37c1,054$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3908331.3%26 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Emma Raducanu60c1,042$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.963,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Emma Raducanu58c1,013$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7960643.1%261 W · 345 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Iva Jovic20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Iva Jovic32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+46.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdaf9…fc07backed Iva Jovic47c761.04$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35915046%69 W · 81 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Emma Raducanu54c736.44$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.4424448.4%118 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Emma Raducanu62c733.87$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8757249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Iva Jovic32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22412452.4%65 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Iva Jovic74c675.81$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50074861.9%463 W · 285 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Emma Raducanu78c650$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14336361.7%224 W · 139 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Iva Jovic16c648$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0656744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Emma Raducanu64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Emma Raducanu27c598.78$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0745457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Emma Raducanu45c585.72$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.254,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Iva Jovic11c578.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.543208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Emma Raducanu56c542.22$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2245457%259 W · 195 L+27.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c50…d6ebbacked Iva Jovic37c540$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.811059.1%65 W · 45 L+0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Emma Raducanu57c535.09$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0951757.4%297 W · 220 L+31.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Emma Raducanu57c535.09$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0947057.9%272 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Emma Raducanu57c535.09$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0947858.4%279 W · 199 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Emma Raducanu58c528.18$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1849957.5%287 W · 212 L+29.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Emma Raducanu73c523$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.834,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Iva Jovic32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Iva Jovic28c500$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1396467.2%43 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed Iva Jovic67c471.91$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.64922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Emma Raducanu68c470.79$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6540235.8%144 W · 258 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Emma Raducanu32c466.25$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3563052.7%332 W · 298 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5154…076bbacked Iva Jovic24c452.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Iva Jovic31c452.2$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0195050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Emma Raducanu45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4427446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Iva Jovic38c428.28$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.712,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Emma Raducanu47c422.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1551142.9%219 W · 292 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d8…f8fabacked Emma Raducanu53c409.36$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.722850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Emma Raducanu74c403.58$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.087462.2%46 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4bc…b19dbacked Emma Raducanu49c402.73$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.738543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Iva Jovic37c393.82$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.718154.3%44 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Iva Jovic51c393.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Iva Jovic70c366.99$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.561,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…53c3backed Iva Jovic14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012849.2%63 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Emma Raducanu43c353.86$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7230749.8%153 W · 154 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Emma Raducanu27c331.11$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.714757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd891…7341backed Iva Jovic30c320.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4312161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Emma Raducanu63c288.76$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5988749.8%442 W · 445 L-22.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Emma Raducanu35c271.66$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5873350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Iva Jovic54c270.56$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14631941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Emma Raducanu73c260.95$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9546565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Emma Raducanu62c257.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9622056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Iva Jovic15c240$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3622551.6%116 W · 109 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed Iva Jovic24c229.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.744235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Iva Jovic21c222.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0579951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d8…59dbbacked Emma Raducanu70c215.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17af…b7e4backed Emma Raducanu48c210.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0329348.5%142 W · 151 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.