TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x780a…84f0backed Over72c60,000$43,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,844.691776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c58,158$16,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,499.073,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over71c10,285$7,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.452,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c9,812$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.94,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.9314542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under37c6,406$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under29c6,212$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.341,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c3,617$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.683,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under45c3,407$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.6425942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Over71c2,118$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.393360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c2,064$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under28c1,926$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.2170750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under42c1,906$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.38643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over65c1,828$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.2535424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over71c1,520$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.543,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.283164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98da…a9ebbacked Over54c1,074$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.071942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over62c999.97$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9918449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over63c946.51$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.722,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over71c905.67$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6564443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb2…abdfbacked Over58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.079348.4%45 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over71c845.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0737955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under40c814.01$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8423637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0b…e52dbacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.451931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under41c724.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9925049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4414659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under29c688.46$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.333,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bd…1fe3backed Over64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over68c604.94$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5429558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over61c552.82$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.844,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over75c533.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8827742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under44c516.78$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1838745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21523440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…34c6backed Under29c499.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.993636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over74c498.62$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.53,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under40c489.3$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Under44c437.05$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.39239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under29c434.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.21,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2f…ac93backed Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.573467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c383.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.882,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over54c371.07$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.151,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over70c354.98$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.491,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c349.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.372,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under28c299.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8536838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over66c299.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…cb2dbacked Under32c296.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under47c251.06$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11819448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under35c246.43$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8629639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under30c244.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.478942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over59c237$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.331,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Under41c217.08$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.867357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9417020%34 W · 136 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over70c188.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.577640.8%31 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1947935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under43c181.17$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.934731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under23c164.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.162,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x65f1…8207backed Over52c164.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.782552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over55c160.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3962452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under35c160.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5616231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7312060.8%73 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Over63c157.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.559348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under29c129$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over71c123.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.049954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under47c122.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6869744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over72c116.06$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.540240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under36c108$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2347744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5414738.1%56 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Over69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319366.7%62 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Under31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under29c90.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1736045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over70c85.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.739558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…540fbacked Over56c84.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.256241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over70c83.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.281554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2584751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under29c72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8846247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab5…da6bbacked Under39c66.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.655933.9%20 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5216542.4%70 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under39c60.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5778234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Under29c59.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.113243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Over71c52.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0728545.6%130 W · 155 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under27c50.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5835150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed Under39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick24cpaid-83.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c48…1c17backed Over71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.512251.6%63 W · 59 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x574f…6849backed Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6218047.2%85 W · 95 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under44c44.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9713530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under31c43.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.482,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over71c42.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over73c42.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3670948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over60c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.822153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under47c41.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6914458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under29c41.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1001…0cf1backed Over58c41.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.384459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under26c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.662,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over76c40.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.