TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,613 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under75c3,102$2,327 inWon+$775.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Over26c970.12$250 inLost-$249.976428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over23c912.11$210 inLost-$209.7945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Over24c826.38$202 inLost-$202.1812871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under74c506$374 inWon+$131.72,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over24c420$101 inLost-$100.85745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under77c390.86$301 inWon+$90.082,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5990…fc5abacked Over25c367.04$92 inLost-$91.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick29cpaid+149.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c251.12$63 inLost-$63.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over25c250$63 inLost-$62.533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under75c245.43$185 inWon+$60.52,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over26c226.5$60 inLost-$601,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c148.8$40 inLost-$40.182,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under73c148$109 inWon+$39.363,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x898c…e4c3backed Under77c129.87$100 inWon+$29.877642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over26c100$26 inLost-$267640.8%31 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c51$38 inWon+$13.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb6…519dbacked Over25c47.32$12 inLost-$11.831625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under74c40$30 inWon+$10.41,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.