TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under67c9,219$6,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,151.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over35c7,013$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,579.422,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c6,236$4,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,110.334,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over34c5,036$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.482,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c4,231$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over35c3,143$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.8627433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c2,912$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.533,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over21c2,408$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.8559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c1,930$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.832,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over28c1,877$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.714,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over33c1,477$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.79635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c1,431$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8965948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c1,346$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.822,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Over47c1,299$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.564772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under66c1,203$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.711,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012433.9%42 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over37c989.77$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.5670648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over57c808.14$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.9514542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b7…f46dbacked Under71c703.61$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0612349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over28c599.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43212040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under64c597.83$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.983,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over36c590.39$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.859237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2412141.3%50 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…0be0backed Over34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.242540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over35c548.36$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.364940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…eac7backed Under56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010658.5%62 W · 44 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over23c524.47$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.662,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32536838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over33c499.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over18c475$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over43c450$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.641,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under66c390.73$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.221,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over22c368.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.382,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over34c365.23$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0514134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over30c330$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23118465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.585745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under65c321$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.658651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19826921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0a…7fb2backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over35c286.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.128831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over28c271$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over47c252$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.591,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over33c249.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4921850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Under65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over45c224.69$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9758642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x230e…45b4backed Under72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505862.1%36 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under46c197.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.061,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under60c184.24$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.421,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over56c177.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2922560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under53c156.91$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.161,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under61c147$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.022,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under67c146.81$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.368942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under11c144.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab0…5ca4backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8612645.2%57 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over37c125.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9223443.6%102 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under64c124.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.432,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b67…ed03backed Over34c121.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.191546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e36…0c4abacked Over41c119.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.017042.9%30 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over36c116.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.71,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c115.17$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.511,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2912648.4%61 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under65c112.1$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8773234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Over39c103.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.855827.6%16 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f8…7fd1backed Over34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.941330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae05…7635backed Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6518736.4%68 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9910253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Under30c98.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f9…9f14backed Over39c94.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.874032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ff6…25babacked Over28c89.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.882166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e2…8a79backed Over34c86.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.831764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x44bc…9052backed Over35c86.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3810436.5%38 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.711,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over34c85.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2963229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Under80c85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a9…e29ebacked Over34c81.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.547927.8%22 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f19…77e3backed Under25c81.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204223.8%10 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Over33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.765234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under69c71.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.941,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over34c68.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a7…636fbacked Under67c68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over38c62.43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.613,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Over34c62.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1712056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over80c61.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2513953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over35c61.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7240240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over35c60.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2129636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…8b2bbacked Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.824531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.147955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1433847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over24c54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0414526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…22a4backed Over30c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.222548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc334…6c90backed Under60c50.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305135.3%18 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Over34c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9917727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e7…b39dbacked Over34c49.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.441952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under55c45.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8821858.7%128 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.