TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67a9…e29e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT7927.8%22 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$26.28
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.53
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$26.22
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.73
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+405.9%+$64.95
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+167.3%+$35.14
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$35.03
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.18
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.3
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+49.7%+$9.45
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+107.9%+$10.84
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.