TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,258,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,499,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,258,379 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,024 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x361b…74febacked Yes20c386,061$78,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,685.4851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c292,506$20,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,542.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcde3…534dbacked Yes14c239,999$33,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,999.91220%0 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb60b…3f85backed Yes7c192,555$13,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,442.6616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes21c172,715$36,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,415.6526320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No80c163,802$131,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,760.367343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1afb…00e0backed Yes12c162,413$19,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,489.5260%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f25…1e13backed Yes13c143,025$19,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,063.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes2c134,228$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.6519529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aeb…eb6cbacked Yes20c130,817$26,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,163.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes19c114,491$21,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,724.462,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes5c97,245$4,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,924.4115131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes14c90,805$12,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,362.8224441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61c…84fbbacked Yes2c87,723$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.29616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-71.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a8…b42ebacked Yes1c82,345$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.086160.7%37 W · 24 L+14.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+76.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No80c78,389$62,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,881.757544%33 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c73,515$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.331705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaecd…d101backed Yes1c63,127$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…4d5abacked No80c60,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0003100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes2c51,678$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.4434.7%2 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-77%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes19c50,345$9,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,594.0532429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes12c50,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00020724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No80c50,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0007941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes22c45,152$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006913%9 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-58.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c41,139$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19e…53cebacked Yes1c40,118$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4450%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes7c38,784$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.4479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Yes22c34,369$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5007826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes9c31,768$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Yes19c31,579$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0007541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes2c30,705$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.1110550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes13c30,243$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,931.61,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes20c30,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9817842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes20c28,747$5,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.346448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…a41ebacked Yes1c28,400$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.914032.1%45 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes18c28,340$5,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144.8524028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x513c…a948backed Yes12c26,779$3,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,213.472259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Yes20c24,000$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8605939%23 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes3c23,073$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.1666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes17c22,961$3,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903.41616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cf…125abacked Yes3c22,749$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cf6…20d7backed Yes18c21,978$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc822…a169backed Yes2c21,533$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.37147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1933…0903backed Yes1c21,329$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes3c20,000$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6254425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Yes11c20,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9912536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes5c17,992$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.4634122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No79c16,380$12,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.749943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…6c92backed Yes4c15,895$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.423414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No78c15,117$11,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.7936031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes19c15,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9913533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9853448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes12c14,443$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.2710012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7362…17fabacked Yes1c14,286$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yes13c14,206$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.0218633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes13c14,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82014219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes8c13,701$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd9…f79bbacked Yes15c13,656$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.431118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes16c13,486$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.761,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No79c12,500$9,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6258450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30a6…64b7backed Yes8c12,410$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.321838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75a5…a5bfbacked Yes1c12,398$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.371752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes1c11,801$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8738734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes13c11,538$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes13c11,538$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed No79c11,500$9,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4152245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f04…7994backed Yes14c11,118$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.51156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-80.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x760c…5a5dbacked Yes20c11,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes3c11,000$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7719818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No80c10,895$8,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.0420844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c7…f3e8backed Yes1c10,678$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103129%9 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…b9b0backed Yes2c10,329$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…e64bbacked Yes1c10,300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes3c10,285$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.9125244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c0…ecf1backed Yes10c10,216$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes0c10,175$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b3…bc8ebacked Yes5c10,138$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4706124.6%15 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+111.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d06…0f3ebacked Yes7c10,018$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.892138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1007740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd94a…ea96backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010429.8%31 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…7c05backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Yes12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.998735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes16c9,736$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.4621239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4715…6efbbacked Yes20c9,508$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8603342.4%14 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe019…6b1dbacked Yes0c9,222$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd86…0287backed Yes12c9,080$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.56714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes19c8,643$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.0513618.4%25 W · 111 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1838…68f0backed Yes1c8,543$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.222231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe195…15aebacked Yes1c8,500$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.53613.9%5 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4051backed Yes2c8,358$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002544%11 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb10e…bb37backed Yes12c8,205$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.652626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-48.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked Yes19c7,953$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.184650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Yes19c7,863$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49432922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes1c7,700$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7450…e146backed Yes10c7,538$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2958…d5fabacked Yes5c7,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001816.7%3 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8423…5489backed Yes12c7,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes18c7,400$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3323132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe78…1823backed Yes19c7,333$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4105221.2%11 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.