TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,588,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,321,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,588,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,565 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9703…69c2backed No80c313,390$249,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,478.1829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c222,964$31,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,643.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes20c76,000$15,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,199.9917949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c66,936$13,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,439.821,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes18c60,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8008325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c41,625$7,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,873.461,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes12c40,504$4,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,890.7919332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes20c32,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.9714829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes8c27,926$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.3279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes16c26,472$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,297.4329333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes16c24,949$3,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,984.672,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd9…cd04backed Yes16c23,890$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,822.331369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+51.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No80c22,684$18,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536.82,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No80c20,525$16,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.0733549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fab…dfd8backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Yes10c19,812$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009649%47 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes5c19,809$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.0432031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes0c16,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes17c15,500$2,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6356953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Yes20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00012846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes21c14,286$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No80c14,220$11,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.882,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes16c14,001$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.1588838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x506b…b0febacked Yes21c13,810$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9006111.5%7 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes3c13,660$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes20c12,894$2,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,578.781,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Yes20c12,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005939%23 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73b7…e4e7backed Yes21c11,429$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-69.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes15c10,700$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d26…7c05backed Yes7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd744…526fbacked Yes20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.993844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes4c9,994$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2815127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2cc…75f3backed Yes8c9,727$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7901127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes18c9,572$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.8817235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes18c7,777$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.7310012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes1c7,681$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6134122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes21c7,529$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.118133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3758…e05ebacked Yes16c7,297$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.121936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes17c7,100$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21014219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes21c6,667$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b3…bc8ebacked Yes10c6,093$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6306124.6%15 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+111.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9606016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes9c5,799$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ba…99cdbacked Yes1c5,653$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Yes18c5,570$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.0420334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes2c5,444$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10141331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes4c5,412$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes21c5,290$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1114829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…9963backed Yes19c5,205$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c7…f3e8backed Yes5c5,118$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.923129%9 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e8…24f8backed Yes3c5,065$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403813.2%5 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-78.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8135…24fdbacked Yes10c5,045$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…fd4abacked Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3797…bca3backed Yes2c4,951$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc822…a169backed Yes8c4,947$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.41147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.024153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes1c4,719$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1914542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes5c4,541$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.767631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes2c4,500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…98bebacked Yes7c4,467$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.952722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bef…5a8cbacked Yes16c4,375$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes18c4,195$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.13419.8%4 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes3c4,176$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.971705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes21c4,107$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85010234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes3c4,000$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1242048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes12c3,936$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.8438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes20c3,900$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7368…8d47backed Yes4c3,875$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked Yes18c3,833$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009723.7%23 W · 74 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf9…6d54backed Yes5c3,603$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked Yes2c3,565$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.979045.6%41 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685c…b626backed Yes1c3,500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.57815.4%12 W · 66 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes20c3,448$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.685729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…b3c3backed Yes17c3,443$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes19c3,407$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.919517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac35…ad85backed Yes21c3,333$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007320.5%15 W · 58 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes20c3,333$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.614348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes13c3,290$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0765835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No80c3,278$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.65362.3%33 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes2c3,273$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5818245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1db…1619backed Yes17c3,110$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.6910228.4%29 W · 73 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes19c3,065$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.9940343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes10c3,029$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.0326836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Yes19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57032647.9%156 W · 170 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes4c3,000$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11111616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9723255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes2c2,937$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Yes19c2,845$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.7833548.4%162 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7230…b65abacked Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…513abacked Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes15c2,750$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028435.9%102 W · 182 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes4c2,706$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No79c2,662$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.111,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.