TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd760…f7f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.36
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,371.54
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$3,071.43
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,842Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$13,782.22
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,073.76
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,801.78
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,350.74
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.46
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,587Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$13,400.59
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.93
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,658.61
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$5,312.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+233.4%+$3,453.83
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,702.7
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,733Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+525%+$9,098.15
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.13
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,216.16
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,114.9
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Wimbledon ATP: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Zverevbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.63
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,517.41
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+502.3%+$1,004.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,521.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.