Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0bed622f9769b8f584168f94eb9e3ab010d6bbc8f1c6adc7475beefd8ccbced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noskovaof Kostyuk, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Noskova | 65c | 4,814$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.49 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Kostyuk | 35c | 2,546$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Kostyuk | 35c | 2,532$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.79 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Noskova | 64c | 1,300$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Kostyuk | 36c | 1,099$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Kostyuk | 39c | 768.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Noskova | 62c | 677.37$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Kostyuk | 35c | 580.04$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Noskova | 66c | 384.31$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Kostyuk | 37c | 278.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Kostyuk | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Kostyuk | 33c | 165.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Noskova | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Noskova | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Noskova | 59c | 136.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Noskova | 65c | 121.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Noskova | 66c | 119.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Noskova | 65c | 109.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 163 | 72.4%118 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Noskova | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Noskova | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Noskova | 67c | 80.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kostyuk | 26c | 73.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Kostyuk | 35c | 73.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Noskova | 65c | 61.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Kostyuk | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Noskova | 61c | 49.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Noskova | 64c | 48.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Kostyuk | 38c | 47.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Noskova | 61c | 44.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Kostyuk | 39c | 44.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Noskova | 65c | 43.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523fbacked Kostyuk | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Noskova | 65c | 40.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…d82bbacked Noskova | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Noskova | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Kostyuk | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Noskova | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kostyuk | 34c | 29.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Noskova | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Noskova | 67c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Noskova | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2216…8ccebacked Noskova | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Noskova | 65c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Noskova | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)this page
- Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set 2 Winner: Kostyuk vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.