Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Kostyuk vs Noskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29077f3dbb9149b689ed2722f941ea15deae886c5af707768cc893920d754e44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noskovaof Kostyuk, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Noskova | 55c | 2,845$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.18 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Kostyuk | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Noskova | 60c | 827.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.97 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kostyuk | 45c | 794.06$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kostyuk | 43c | 709.43$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…4a10backed Kostyuk | 17c | 677.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Noskova | 53c | 513$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Kostyuk | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kostyuk | 39c | 446$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…9f14backed Noskova | 60c | 342.75$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…6a0abacked Noskova | 62c | 336.15$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c6…59efbacked Kostyuk | 61c | 329.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Noskova | 56c | 252.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kostyuk | 43c | 240.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Noskova | 55c | 234.05$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Noskova | 49c | 205.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kostyuk | 43c | 201.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Noskova | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Kostyuk | 23c | 178.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Noskova | 58c | 169.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Kostyuk | 55c | 164.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Kostyuk | 17c | 145$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kostyuk | 48c | 96.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Kostyuk | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…dac0backed Noskova | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Kostyuk | 51c | 61.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Noskova | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Kostyuk | 47c | 51.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Noskova | 68c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Noskova | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Noskova | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Noskova | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Noskova | 56c | 40.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…4b61backed Noskova | 61c | 34.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Kostyuk | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Kostyuk vs Noskovathis page
- Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)Noskova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.