TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Noskova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noskovaof Kostyuk, Noskova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Kostyuk46c4,776$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.268,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Noskova55c3,633$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.4911754.7%64 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4722…4fc4backed Kostyuk42c2,811$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.113141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Noskova57c1,990$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.884,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Noskova49c1,596$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.964641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Kostyuk54c1,324$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.533658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Noskova44c1,279$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.111,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Kostyuk56c1,150$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6441,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Noskova57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4309,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed Kostyuk2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420%0 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Kostyuk36c719.28$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7610648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Kostyuk59c679.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40063252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8005…16eabacked Noskova49c673.17$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe61f…2c30backed Noskova60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.67988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.42per pick47cpaid+83.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Noskova47c647.96$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4220846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Kostyuk55c618.34$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.0410438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Noskova45c603.93$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1612147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Kostyuk2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12410%0 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Kostyuk2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc779…8e4fbacked Noskova53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.047767.5%52 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Kostyuk49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013048.5%63 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Noskova57c489.43$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.672,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kostyuk55c444.44$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4417244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Noskova45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4434555.1%190 W · 155 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eef…28adbacked Kostyuk58c414.08$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.872347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Noskova49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1613549.6%67 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Kostyuk52c402.87$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1432333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Noskova50c400$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.594,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Noskova49c384.78$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.781,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Noskova45c383.92$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.092,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Noskova49c306.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4328833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Noskova52c303.13$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.582,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Kostyuk50c297.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.021,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Noskova57c285.57$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.76,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Kostyuk45c282.48$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1224349.4%120 W · 123 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Noskova47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Kostyuk55c227.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f9…9f14backed Noskova49c208.45$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.312853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Noskova56c198.36$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3629940.1%120 W · 179 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Noskova45c190.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.041,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8373…7475backed Noskova60c181.63$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.656747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Noskova54c181.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.488936%32 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40c6…59efbacked Kostyuk56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kostyuk53c142.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.47,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Kostyuk46c131.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6947251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Noskova56c128$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.325,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Kostyuk43c119.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3623723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Noskova58c112.59$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2918261.5%112 W · 70 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Noskova42c110$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.835641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Noskova46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.716467.7%111 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99eb…e4c1backed Kostyuk48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Noskova55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515349.7%76 W · 77 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Kostyuk47c91.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6974547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Noskova55c89.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.092,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b9…664bbacked Noskova73c82.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.531241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick65cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Kostyuk43c80.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.462,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x855a…2144backed Noskova45c75.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.564100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Kostyuk54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4086470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Noskova47c68.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.091,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7db…d23abacked Kostyuk41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Noskova47c60.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Noskova47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.572755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed Noskova41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.56728.4%19 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7079…58e8backed Kostyuk56c47.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6914148.2%68 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Kostyuk47c46.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Kostyuk41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.451,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Noskova50c41.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Kostyuk53c37.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Noskova57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0924459.4%145 W · 99 L+21.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Kostyuk58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207227.8%20 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Kostyuk56c33.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924936.5%91 W · 158 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b4…942fbacked Kostyuk45c33.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-83.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Noskova47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4321447.2%101 W · 113 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Noskova47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2527550.2%138 W · 137 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Noskova47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2529551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Noskova47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2556153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Noskova61c24.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4832726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Noskova53c19.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3143552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa579…2c60backed Noskova61c16.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.