TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8373…7475

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT6747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.97
Set 1 Winner: Quevedo vs Waltertbacked Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.28
ITF Tokyo: Shintaro Imai vs Naoki Nakagawabacked Naoki Nakagawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$76.48
Newport: Bernard Tomic vs Adam Waltonbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.95
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heidebacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.71
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$72.65
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Kali Supova vs Manon Favierbacked Manon Favier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.6
ITF Don Benito: Ann Akasha Ceuca vs Naomi McKenziebacked Naomi McKenzie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.46
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.72
Contrexeville: Alice Tubello vs Yufei Renbacked Yufei Ren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.22
Braunschweig: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.63
Set 1 Winner: Monnot vs Jeanjeanbacked Monnot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.46
Set 1 Winner: Taverna vs Lindebacked Linde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.03
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.93
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$568.11
Bogota: Alan Magadan vs Johan Alexander Rodriguezbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$318.14
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.81
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$158.5
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$99.76
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$347.09
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Doumbia/Reboul vs Gille/Verbeekbacked Gille/Verbeek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.11
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Pavlasek/Riklbacked Pavlasek/Rikl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.11
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)backed Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$342.31
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.69
ITF Kayseri: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Matias Reyniakbacked Matias Reyniak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.64
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerbacked INFURITY Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.38
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Next UP (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$277
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.89
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Red Feet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.3
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49%+$240.11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.12
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked MAGICOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$255.06
Counter-Strike: Team Recrent vs Team shoke (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsbacked Team shoke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$27.09
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$68.97
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$169.02
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.12
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.61
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs Team Aunkere (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bbacked Team Aunkere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$86.91
Counter-Strike: 6666 vs Esport BERG (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #5 Group Abacked 6666 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.38
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 1 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$77.74
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$37.58
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$84.38
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$77.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$43.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.