TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Newport: Bernard Tomic vs Adam Walton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adam Waltonof Bernard Tomic, Adam Walton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Adam Walton61c16,395$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,394.5774439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Bernard Tomic15c6,497$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.5223723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Adam Walton67c4,469$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.4711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Bernard Tomic33c4,067$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3424431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Bernard Tomic29c3,142$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.0433037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Bernard Tomic28c3,121$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.654,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Adam Walton75c2,669$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.7794068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Bernard Tomic22c2,445$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.7814133.3%47 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adam Walton75c2,387$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.28,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Bernard Tomic23c2,183$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Bernard Tomic36c2,012$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4830436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Adam Walton78c1,348$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.644,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Bernard Tomic31c1,329$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.431,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Bernard Tomic20c1,135$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.471,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bernard Tomic28c1,005$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.193,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…2dafbacked Bernard Tomic23c999.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Adam Walton74c999.8$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.829,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Bernard Tomic27c991.78$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4732333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Bernard Tomic34c950.79$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.274641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Bernard Tomic12c923.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.822,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed Bernard Tomic34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008345.8%38 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Bernard Tomic34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008936%32 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Bernard Tomic13c761.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9926134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Bernard Tomic37c759.32$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.951,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Adam Walton72c699.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19625349%124 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bernard Tomic14c694.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.352,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Adam Walton77c650.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.291,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa102…6b5bbacked Bernard Tomic33c650$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.57550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Bernard Tomic28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1687,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Adam Walton72c592$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.245,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Bernard Tomic28c568.02$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9417942.5%76 W · 103 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Adam Walton68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1891754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Adam Walton69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1244,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Bernard Tomic25c373.46$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Bernard Tomic25c370.01$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Bernard Tomic27c358.44$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.252,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Adam Walton78c341.96$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.851,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed Bernard Tomic32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8373…7475backed Bernard Tomic34c311.62$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.956747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Adam Walton72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7843158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Bernard Tomic26c262.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Bernard Tomic27c260$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.31,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x831f…cc50backed Bernard Tomic29c256.03$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2521841.3%90 W · 128 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Bernard Tomic26c252.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7631443.6%137 W · 177 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Bernard Tomic40c252.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10144751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Adam Walton74c247.3$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.340161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Bernard Tomic27c205.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3933152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Bernard Tomic25c197.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Adam Walton69c195.05$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.051,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Adam Walton74c169.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3839254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Bernard Tomic29c167.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Adam Walton72c165.43$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.157,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Adam Walton62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2988935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Adam Walton74c156.33$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6589859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Bernard Tomic34c153.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.340935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Adam Walton73c149.97$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4973048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e5…d1f0backed Adam Walton68c148.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.535639.3%22 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Adam Walton68c147.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.221,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Bernard Tomic28c137.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.621,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Adam Walton73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9928147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Adam Walton73c135$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9848245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Bernard Tomic30c126.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.413,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Bernard Tomic36c121$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9718537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bernard Tomic30c116.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.062,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Bernard Tomic33c113$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4297852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Bernard Tomic37c111.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.291,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Bernard Tomic28c111$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.082,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…b250backed Bernard Tomic31c103.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Adam Walton74c100.68$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6840861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Bernard Tomic33c98.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.391,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Adam Walton77c95.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.921,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Adam Walton63c92.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0648242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Bernard Tomic25c81.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3773648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Adam Walton68c77.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7831161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Bernard Tomic30c73.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2237436.4%136 W · 238 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Adam Walton72c72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1690152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Adam Walton69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8673951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Bernard Tomic26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.985637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Adam Walton73c59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.931,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Bernard Tomic30c57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.149658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bernard Tomic24c56.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.661,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Bernard Tomic24c56.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6660446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Bernard Tomic26c53.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.273,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Bernard Tomic19c52.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.022236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Adam Walton76c51.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.446,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Adam Walton72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1457449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Adam Walton76c49.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.136,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf442…2581backed Adam Walton72c49.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.167275%54 W · 18 L+11.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3bce…db46backed Bernard Tomic35c44.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2915854.4%86 W · 72 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Bernard Tomic34c44.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515552.3%81 W · 74 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Bernard Tomic27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Adam Walton61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.788273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Adam Walton78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.462,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Adam Walton80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.651457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14d5…8ba8backed Adam Walton69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Bernard Tomic39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.719841.9%83 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf9…efa4backed Bernard Tomic40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Adam Walton65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.752,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Adam Walton68c20.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5135555.5%197 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Adam Walton78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.492352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.