TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x98eb…60f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
341
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT28147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 281 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+57%+$99.69
Cancun: Gauthier Onclin vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+71%+$141.91
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$105.65
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Abdullah Shelbayhbacked Abdullah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Kingston: Harold Mayot vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.34
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 2 Winner: Swiatek vs Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.16
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+296.8%+$296.83
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.09
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$148.17
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$84
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 281 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.02
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.6
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Rayan Cherki: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$80.93
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+273.1%+$54.63
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+224.7%+$128.52
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$141.61
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$192.42
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$54.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.