Fifa International · resolved market
Michael Olise: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46bcfd132f72b821627f388aff08888feff230e27e1b571f0d6326cf4c87cff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 47c | 10,642$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 58c | 8,346$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.87 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 55c | 7,857$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 47c | 7,460$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 52c | 6,971$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.99 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.93 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 42c | 5,890$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked No | 57c | 5,867$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 53c | 5,221$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.32 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 48c | 4,863$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 43c | 4,750$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.5 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 56c | 4,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.99 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 3,659$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.92 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Yes | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 58c | 3,489$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.29 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 43c | 2,318$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 55c | 2,217$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.65 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.49 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,972$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.76 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…51a4backed Yes | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,758$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.97 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 55c | 1,556$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.54 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 54c | 1,533$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.39 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 58c | 1,140$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.31 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yes | 31c | 900$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 78c | 849$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.89 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 55c | 807.25$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.63 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 58c | 799$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 766.9$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…ed26backed Yes | 41c | 700.78$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.32 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 58c | 681$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.02 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…b889backed Yes | 46c | 643$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 41c | 609.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.45 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 46c | 608.01$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.63 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 51c | 604.52$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.19 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed No | 59c | 595.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…cc35backed Yes | 45c | 593.89$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No | 56c | 567.89$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.87 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 34c | 553.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.13 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 57c | 499.9$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.96 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…5c95backed Yes | 41c | 477.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 53c | 469.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.89 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 43c | 460.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 444.76$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…1a27backed Yes | 45c | 443.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Yes | 42c | 439.76$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…45f5backed Yes | 43c | 399.14$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 381.75$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 32.5%50 W · 104 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…636abacked Yes | 43c | 301.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed Yes | 42c | 292.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed No | 61c | 266.44$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Yes | 43c | 257.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…1e9bbacked Yes | 42c | 237.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…3fe9backed Yes | 42c | 237$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Yes | 42c | 235.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…0b68backed Yes | 42c | 233.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…f299backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ede…5212backed Yes | 43c | 231.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…dea5backed No | 59c | 201.31$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 44c | 199.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 40c | 196.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 73c | 179.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 164.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 54c | 154.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked No | 69c | 146.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 66c | 146.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…78b2backed Yes | 10c | 144.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9c15backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 135.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 57c | 129.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed No | 60c | 128.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…1c3bbacked Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…7f7dbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 45c | 124.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michael Olise: 1+ assiststhis page
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ shotsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ assistsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ goalsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.