TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Michael Olise: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes47c10,642$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No58c8,346$4,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.8736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed No55c7,857$4,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52415843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes47c7,460$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No52c6,971$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.9946464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No57c6,500$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.9334357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes42c5,890$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd1…9a1fbacked No57c5,867$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.192254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No53c5,221$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.3233350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed No59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.942955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes48c4,863$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3429440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes43c4,750$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.518929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No56c4,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.9913261.4%81 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No54c3,659$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.922,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Yes42c3,500$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4709126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No58c3,489$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.2911348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes43c2,318$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010050%50 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No55c2,217$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.651,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No55c2,000$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.4931171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes44c1,972$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.7627820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c9…51a4backed Yes41c1,951$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes50c1,758$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.9710045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No55c1,556$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.5432765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No54c1,533$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.3988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No51c1,250$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.51,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No58c1,140$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.312,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Yes42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Yes31c900$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No78c849$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.891,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No55c807.25$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.631,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No58c799$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.5811558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes43c766.9$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…ed26backed Yes41c700.78$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.322748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No58c681$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.0216357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a1b…b889backed Yes46c643$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.382321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+159.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes41c609.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.451,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes46c608.01$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.639017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No51c604.52$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.1977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed No59c595.09$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9423251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bd…cc35backed Yes45c593.89$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.931010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-85.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No56c567.89$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.874057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes34c553.99$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1336123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53b4…2e88backed Yes42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210319.7%3 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No57c499.9$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9612875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2270…5c95backed Yes41c477.61$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No53c469.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.896671.2%47 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes43c460.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010956.9%62 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No57c444.76$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.812,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb711…1a27backed Yes45c443.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Yes42c439.76$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.72147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ff…45f5backed Yes43c399.14$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.635556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c381.75$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.162,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Yes42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14726921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Yes43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015432.5%50 W · 104 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Yes43c301.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.558734.5%30 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1175437%20 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed Yes42c292.27$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8212150.4%61 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No61c266.44$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.817065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Yes43c257.72$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.520325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11032044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.847049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003630.6%11 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6084…1e9bbacked Yes42c237.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-81.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Yes42c237$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Yes42c235.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.712344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09de…0b68backed Yes42c233.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.255147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8baa…f299backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ede…5212backed Yes43c231.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011155.9%62 W · 49 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014638.4%56 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013441.8%56 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee6b…dea5backed No59c201.31$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.311030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Yes24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478028.8%23 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes44c199.27$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes40c196.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.062,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No73c179.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.372,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No56c164.17$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.833,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e62…64a7backed Yes54c154.93$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.819858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked No69c146.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.113956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No66c146.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5637971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Yes10c144.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155740.4%23 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016950.9%86 W · 83 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9c15backed Yes42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No57c135.48$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.623,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No57c129.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.272,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed No60c128.1$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2410351.5%53 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa817…1c3bbacked Yes47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014854.7%81 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7843…7f7dbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016341.7%68 W · 95 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes45c124.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.561,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.