Fifa International · resolved market
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce33f59920a27c63f3902a7aaaa7075eb794bf2003fd8fd5caa29c4552fd5d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 21c | 25,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.99 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 79c | 20,101$15,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.29 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 79c | 3,602$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.42 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 18c | 732.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 17c | 693$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 17c | 619.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…74e8backed Yes | 22c | 519.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 78c | 382.79$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 22c | 341.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 20c | 298.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 18c | 294.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 17c | 260$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…b294backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4684backed No | 76c | 249.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…9f01backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 78c | 126.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Yes | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…061abacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 20c | 99.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…3767backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…39eebacked Yes | 22c | 85.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes | 18c | 75.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 459 | 32.5%149 W · 310 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 65.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…cbedbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…69e2backed Yes | 21c | 57.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 79c | 50.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…0786backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 76c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 73c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsthis page
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ shotsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ assistsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ goalsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.