TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf256…3767

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+693.7%+$1,398.4
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.9
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+46.1%+$10.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$590.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26%+$61.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$267.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+32.8%+$17.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.4
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+41.4%+$29.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.1%+$96.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+87.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+155.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$82.6
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.9%+$59.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$51.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+134.2%+$38.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Gautier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.