Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8d4e2c302e248cb5cd7179c589281e93b5c594baa57e04d3f0b934bd8df449d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,918,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,886,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,918,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d3c…49ecbacked No | 2c | 61,573$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 10c | 57,204$5,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 74c | 51,665$38,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,579.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 1c | 50,769$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…f8abbacked No | 1c | 35,378$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 24c | 35,190$8,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,328.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 16c | 32,443$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 20c | 29,169$5,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,732.35 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 75c | 24,914$18,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 4c | 23,521$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…3dd1backed No | 2c | 21,709$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 8c | 21,324$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 28c | 20,037$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,526.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…b3dfbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…62e6backed No | 22c | 16,839$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 14c | 16,200$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.58 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 15c | 14,383$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.66 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 63c | 13,223$8,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.26 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 63c | 13,160$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 76c | 13,133$10,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 3c | 11,711$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 1c | 11,006$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 10,856$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.62 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 28c | 10,850$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 78c | 10,381$8,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 65c | 10,279$6,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 61c | 10,240$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…1917backed No | 1c | 10,208$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…b998backed No | 36c | 10,011$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked No | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf580…7fadbacked No | 12c | 9,900$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 70c | 9,822$6,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 24c | 9,100$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…24b4backed No | 1c | 8,964$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…cf2ebacked Yes | 73c | 8,841$6,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…ce43backed No | 31c | 8,641$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 9c | 7,875$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.56 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked No | 19c | 7,651$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…a0efbacked Yes | 76c | 7,560$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e01…17b3backed No | 1c | 7,556$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…6820backed Yes | 74c | 7,301$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 70c | 7,244$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 70c | 6,928$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked No | 36c | 6,863$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 23c | 6,757$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked Yes | 77c | 6,520$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 78c | 6,425$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +95%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 29c | 6,366$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 68c | 5,834$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…6181backed No | 30c | 5,619$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…7f51backed No | 9c | 5,595$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…cffcbacked No | 0c | 5,558$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 79c | 5,539$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed No | 2c | 5,400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…f8a5backed No | 31c | 5,374$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcf…510ebacked No | 24c | 5,327$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 26c | 5,128$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.83 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…0464backed No | 25c | 5,088$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 0c | 5,057$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…1d17backed Yes | 73c | 4,893$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed No | 3c | 4,833$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 68c | 4,683$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…d1fabacked No | 22c | 4,654$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 1c | 4,587$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed No | 0c | 4,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3d…3bbbbacked No | 2c | 4,352$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 64c | 4,318$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…59fdbacked No | 1c | 4,274$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed No | 29c | 4,094$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…d22ebacked No | 12c | 4,061$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 5c | 3,913$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.1 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…3577backed No | 29c | 3,888$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 69c | 3,849$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…479cbacked No | 0c | 3,808$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 61c | 3,806$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked No | 26c | 3,800$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 22c | 3,759$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.25 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 6c | 3,755$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb5…ed3bbacked No | 30c | 3,700$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 28c | 3,632$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 27c | 3,604$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 22c | 3,600$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 14c | 3,600$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 27c | 3,552$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…7e0abacked No | 31c | 3,524$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed No | 23c | 3,487$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed No | 18c | 3,448$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 69c | 3,300$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…f6f4backed No | 3c | 3,297$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 76c | 3,294$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.24 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…162cbacked No | 3c | 3,238$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed No | 1c | 3,222$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 3,200$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.98 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…4641backed No | 32c | 3,157$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked Yes | 64c | 3,131$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed No | 1c | 3,111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…f15ebacked No | 27c | 2,963$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…c452backed No | 25c | 2,910$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 47c | 2,799$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.44 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.