TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ea7…79ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,014.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$844Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,664.7%+$14,055.67
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,124.93
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$246.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$1,980.16
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,350
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66%+$949.23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$550
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.56
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$58.21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,139.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.23
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,761Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$3,087.85
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,193.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$359.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,924.99
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$917.2
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$106.07
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$144.99
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,552Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77.1%+$6,593.1
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$460.65
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$74
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$519.99
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.5%+$144.93
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+101.2%+$2,056.1
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.54
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$469.98
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$500
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$189
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$389.54
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$53.43
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,165.06
US military action against Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$7,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,291.84
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$48,128.72
US military action against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13,764Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$5,073.61
Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$7.8
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.63
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,899.89
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.83
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$53.17
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,697Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$6,741.95
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60%+$750
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29,977.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$47.74
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,527Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+37.5%+$573
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,051.63
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,540.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16,662.35
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$95.46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.6%+$19,630.74
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$848.25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,075.53
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$154
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+74.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$39.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,635Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+41%+$4,365
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$810.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.