TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0113…6f26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
583
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12849.2%63 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.88
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martinbacked Nicolas Arseneault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$291.18
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+36%+$94.52
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.14
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$97.38
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Tsitsipas (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$194.07
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Kayla Day vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$54.28
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovicbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+32%+$93.81
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.5
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.56
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.05
Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesanabacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$150.75
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cinabacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$118.51
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Molcan (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.45
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$238.58
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$200.9
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$134.16
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$152
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT5848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$913.49
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42%+$119.19
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,964.43
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.22
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$307.82
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$855.41
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+87.7%+$2,080.58
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$159.26
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$547.6
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,436Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+27.2%+$934.97
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,276.31
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+101%+$1,118.14
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+99.2%+$449.81
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$525.14
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+45.2%+$349.25
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$29.41
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+49.7%+$554.07
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.3%+$231.47
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$945.51
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+54.4%+$440.57
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$999.94
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.86
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,615Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$962.11
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$669.19
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST4050%20 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+46.2%+$301.54
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+45.1%+$337.64
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$206.88
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$786.27
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$532.43
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$217.53
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$672.29
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$332.41
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$47.53
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$484.03
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$282
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$362.35
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$196.73
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$162.08
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+38.2%+$97.93
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.26
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+198.5%+$176.02
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.73
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$311.47
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$167.1
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+92.4%+$140.75
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$54.92
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-48.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.73
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,530.23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,377.14
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,041.69
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$570.8
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,530
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.49
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$346.19
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$382.03
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+343.6%+$2,997.83
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.54
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.24
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.03
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$38.56
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.5
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.29
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$243.94
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$345.45
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$486.36
Will Poilievre say "Immigration" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$39.47
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+109.4%+$1,342.91
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$935.65
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$71.86
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.65
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.77
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.41
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$161.27
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,855Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+45.7%+$1,306.09
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$117.28
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+376.7%+$3,951.31
Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,944Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+285.2%+$11,248.46
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$3,237.34
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Peter Leko vs Arjun Erigaisi (Advances)backed Leko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$412
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+232%+$303.89
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$509.21
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+461.7%+$1,306
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.58
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$449.42
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.47
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.92
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+97.2%+$554.52
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+37.4%+$156.03
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$229.39
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+156.6%+$1,919.58
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,039.69
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$3,117.8
Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$733.5
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$209.87
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Casey O'Neill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$345.31
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.67
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$166.9
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$148.17
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$198
UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczukbacked Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$122.59
UFC 319: Andrade vs. Godinezbacked Godinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$142.5
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.5
UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klosebacked Klose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$173.63
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.19
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovicsbacked Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$30
UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornollebacked Cornolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santosbacked dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.57
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejosbacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.42
UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. Fletcherbacked Fletcher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$289.73
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore backed Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.21
UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Pulyaevbacked Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.6
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,175.53
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$1,088
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+458.5%+$960.5
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$384
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuberbacked Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+319.6%+$534.71
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.8
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$98.18
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Bonfimbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.95
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.39
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.67
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.25
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+79.2%+$88.74
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$136.1
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$323.08
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+29.4%+$108.58
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+40.6%+$332.72
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+135.7%+$1,222.7
Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+51.6%+$778.96
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,522.84
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$126.94
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$299.49
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$65.62
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,044.52
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$295.75
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$400.99
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+228.2%+$1,815.16
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,064.21
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+322%+$542.57
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$209.62
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$147.25
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$426.48
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$144.57
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$228.01
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$141.1
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.6%+$492.06
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+49.5%+$661.36
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+89.7%+$578.75
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+148.2%+$918.73
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,124.03
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+30.3%+$24.19
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.58
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+166%+$468.59
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,696Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$1,059.95
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,649
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,772.56
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$974.8
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.49
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$550.81
Israel military action on Yemen before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$307.14
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,892Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+107.1%+$6,308.28
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$3,086.65
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$239.36
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,873.79
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+66.3%+$152.58
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+48.7%+$119.21
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+113.5%+$1,646.35
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$753.26
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$868.11
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+75.5%+$347.49
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,443Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+52.6%+$1,811.82
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.4
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$1,206.61
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,307.05
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$66.26
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$794.4
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+37.4%+$348.21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$241.19
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$546.81
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.72
TikTok sale announced before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$11.23
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.62
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.77
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$527.56
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+37.1%+$601.64
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$1,980.14
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$7,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$7,954.49
Will Trump nominate Marc Rowan for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$2,687.83
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$1,917.07
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$742.28
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$27.81
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$683.42
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$480.12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$132.67
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+124.2%+$63.68
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+138.6%+$3,210.21
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.22
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.56
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$121.78
Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$125
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$153.33
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+25%+$140.16
Will Ipswich vs. Man Utd end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+58%+$255.45
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+29.9%+$116.55
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spurs vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.4
Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cupbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2024, EDT+41.7%+$47.62
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.71
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$470.84
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.9%+$139.45
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$390.98
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+39.7%+$339.42
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+70.5%+$515.86
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+275.4%+$2,988.84
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,018.75
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$723.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9INE (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$712.93
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,579Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+43.7%+$689.94
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+35.5%+$164.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$485.21
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$164.28
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$203.68
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$223.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$515.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$679.58
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$820.75
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,008.31
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,060.14
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$307.8
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,469Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+69.4%+$1,019.63
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$998.43
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,875Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,414.37
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.21
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.49
Will Feyenoord beat Bayern Munich?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$344.32
Will Bayern Munich beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$765
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$589.28
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+72.4%+$248.37
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$360.24
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$131.98
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$313.76
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$697.35
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$504.4
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$163.22
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+63.9%+$390
Titans vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$696.27
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$585.75
Colts vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST+40.8%+$439.03
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$557.95
Ravens vs. Buccaneersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$72.54
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+134.4%+$166.3
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$82.74
Seahawks vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$130.19
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$265.86
Bengals vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+37%+$345.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.79
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$102.84
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$147.52
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$104.85
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$90.99
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$54.44
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.34
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.53
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$468.11
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,424Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+107%+$1,522.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$60.02
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$34.96
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,019Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+52.7%+$1,590.36
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,608.43
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+37.2%+$426.37
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$353.18
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$579.31
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,783.71
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 5-10m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$183
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.81
Will Sabrina Carpenter win Best New Artist?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$284.66
Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$2,087.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$387.28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$918.9
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$161.43
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$5,482.83
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+120.8%+$842.3
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$995.43
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+157.7%+$979.02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$440.64
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$195.41
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.87
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$82.17
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,938.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+93.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+44.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$226.54
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$376.68
Aces vs. Stormbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,155.73
Dream vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,489.03
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,885.44
Pershing Square IPO in 2024? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+72.3%+$212.36
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,558Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+25.9%+$403.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+35.2%+$225.69
Will BYU beat Oklahoma State?backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$35.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+114.4%+$280.18
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$315.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$968.98
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+61.1%+$781.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.64
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$291.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+213.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+213.7%+$489.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+156.5%+$1,189.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,404Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+139.2%+$4,737.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+84.4%+$138.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.6%+$141.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+26.5%+$48.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 September hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$999.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$774.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$523.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$957.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.